Brazil v Japan preview: Vinícius Júnior and Kamada set for key June showdown

Brazil face Japan on 29 June at 17:00 GMT in a match that brings together two in‑form sides with contrasting strengths and styles.

Brazil enter the fixture on a three‑match unbeaten run, recording a sequence of draw–win–win in their last five games. Japan arrive with a recent pattern of draw–win–draw, underlining their resilience and ability to stay in contests until the final whistle.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: Bruno Guimarães (Brazil) — 1 assists, Takefusa Kubo (Japan) — 1 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: Alisson (Brazil) — 2, Zion Suzuki (Japan) — 4
• Tackles: None (Brazil) — None, None (Japan) — None.
• Most encounters won: Lucas Paquetá (Brazil) — 10, Tsuyoshi Watanabe (Japan) — 5.
• Yellow cards: None (Brazil) — None, None (Japan) — None.
• Red cards: None (Brazil) — None, None (Japan) — None.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. L. Messi (5, Argentina)
2. Kylian Mbappé (4, France)
3. O. Dembélé (4, France)
4. Vinícius Júnior (4, Brazil)
5. E. Haaland (4, Norway)

Team statistics:

Vinícius Júnior leads Brazil’s attacking threat after scoring one goal this season for the national team. His direct running from the left and ability to break defensive lines remain central to Brazil’s game plan. For Japan, Daichi Kamada has also scored once this season and is expected to be a focal point in the final third, linking midfield and attack while providing late runs into the box.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Brazil — DWW
• Japan — DWD

Brazil’s home form provides a significant platform. This season they have recorded two wins, one draw and no defeats on home soil. Their biggest home victory has been a 3-0 success, underlining their capacity to control matches and convert dominance into goals when playing in front of their own supporters. Away from home, Brazil have also shown authority with a 3-0 victory, demonstrating that their attacking structure can travel.

According to home statistics this season, Brazil scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	14.29%	100.00%
16-30	14.29%
31-45	57.14%
46-60	14.29%
61-75
76-90
91-105

Japan has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	14.29%	33.33%
16-30	14.29%	66.67%
31-45	28.57%
46-60	14.29%
61-75	28.57%
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Brazil	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Japan		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Brazil		Japan
61.8%	Winning the game	61.8%
50%	Attack potential	50%
75%	Potential in defense	75%
75%	Strength against each other	75%
69%	Goal Potential	69%

Summary: the probability of Japan winning – 10%, draw – 45%, loss – 45%. Thus Brazil, most likely, win (win or draw)

Goal Forecast:Brazil, is likely to score -2.5 goals, Japan is likely to score no more than -2.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
Hill 1.7	SBO 3.82	Bet365 5.35

Save the date

The match between the teams Brazil and Japan will take place on June 29 at 17:00 (GMT) at the stadium .