Switzerland v Canada: Embolo and Larin lead line in key June 24 showdown

Switzerland face Canada on 24 June at 19:00 (GMT) in a competitive group-stage meeting, with both sides looking to extend positive recent runs and sharpen their attacking edge around Breel Embolo and Cyle Larin.

Switzerland enter the match on the back of a DW sequence in their last five fixtures, signalling relative stability in results even if performances have fluctuated. Canada also arrive with a DW pattern across their last five games, suggesting a side that is difficult to beat and capable of grinding out points in tight contests. Both teams have shown enough resilience to keep themselves competitive in a league-style group table.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: (Switzerland) — 0 assists, Promise David (Canada) — 1 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: Gregor Kobel (Switzerland) — 3, Maxime Crépeau (Canada) — 2
• Tackles: None (Switzerland) — None, None (Canada) — None.
• Most encounters won: Rubén Vargas (Switzerland) — 8, Luc De Fougerolles (Canada) — 11.
• Yellow cards: None (Switzerland) — None, None (Canada) — None.
• Red cards: None (Switzerland) — None, None (Canada) — None.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. D. Undav (3, Germany)
2. J. David (3, Canada)
3. L. Messi (3, Argentina)
4. C. Summerville (2, Netherlands)
5. A. Ueda (2, Japan)

Team statistics:

Embolo has scored 1 goal this season for Switzerland and remains central to their attacking plan. His movement off the shoulder of defenders and direct running in behind give Switzerland an outlet when they look to break lines quickly. Canada respond with Larin, who has also scored 1 goal this season and is the reference point of their forward line, bringing physical presence, aerial threat and the ability to link play in advanced areas.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Switzerland — DW
• Canada — DW

Switzerland’s record this season shows a solid home foundation. At home they have registered 1 win, 1 draw and 0 losses, underlining that they rarely allow visiting sides to dominate. Their biggest home win so far stands at 4-1, a result that reflects their capacity to turn control into goals when chances appear. Away from home, their biggest win has been by a 0 margin, and their biggest defeat away is 0, indicating that they have not suffered a heavy loss on the road but have yet to impose themselves with a high-scoring away victory.

According to home statistics this season, Switzerland scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	16.67%	100.00%
16-30	16.67%
31-45	66.67%
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

Canada has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	28.57%	50.00%
16-30	28.57%	50.00%
31-45	14.29%
46-60	28.57%
61-75
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Switzerland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Canada		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Switzerland		Canada
41.7%	Winning the game	41.7%
42%	Attack potential	42%
33%	Potential in defense	33%
0%	Strength against each other	0%
0%	Goal Potential	0%

Summary: the probability of Canada winning – 45%, draw – 45%, loss – 10%. Thus Switzerland, most likely, loss (loss or draw)

Goal Forecast:Switzerland, is likely to score -3.5 goals, Canada is likely to score no more than -4.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
SBO 2.57	Bet365 3.0	BetVictor 3.3

Save the date

The match between the teams Switzerland and Canada will take place on June 24 at 19:00 (GMT) at the stadium BC Place.