Adama Kenema face Awassa Kenema on 6 February at 13:00 (GMT) in a league fixture that will help shape the ambitions of both clubs in the Ethiopian top-flight campaign. The match brings together a home side showing signs of defensive resilience and an away team with one of the stronger away records in the division.
Adama Kenema arrive on the back of a five-game unbeaten run, with a sequence of DDDWW. That pattern underlines a side that has tightened up at the back but has sometimes lacked the cutting edge to turn draws into wins. Two victories in their last two outings suggest momentum is now turning in their favour as they seek to push up the league table.
Awassa Kenema travel with recent form of WLWWD, reflecting a side that has been more ruthless in turning their positive play into points. Three wins in their last four games, combined with an away record of 9 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats, marks them out as one of the more reliable travellers in the league. Their capacity to earn results on the road gives this fixture extra importance in the context of the league standings.
Adama Kenema’s home statistics point to solidity and stubbornness. They have recorded 6 home wins, 10 draws and only 2 defeats this season, underpinning a reputation as one of the more difficult sides to beat on their own ground. That high number of draws, however, shows why they may be sitting slightly lower in the table than their performances at times deserve, with too many shared points holding back a more serious challenge.
Awassa Kenema’s away numbers tell a contrasting story of greater risk and reward. With 9 away victories, 5 draws and 4 losses, they tend to force games rather than settle. That approach has generated a strong points return away from home and suggests they will come to Adama looking to play proactively, rather than sit back and protect a draw.
Goal-scoring has been a recurring concern for Adama Kenema across the campaign. They have played 11 matches this season without scoring a goal, a statistic that highlights the biggest question surrounding their challenge in this fixture. When they create chances, they often lack the finishing touch, and if that trend continues against a well-organised Awassa side, their strong home platform could be undermined once more.
Awassa Kenema have been more secure defensively, keeping clean sheets in 7 matches across the season. That defensive discipline has provided a base for their effective away form. When they go in front, they tend to protect leads efficiently, limiting space between the lines and keeping their back line compact. Against an Adama side that can struggle in front of goal, Awassa’s clean-sheet record becomes a key factor.
Adama Kenema’s margin of results this season underlines their cautious, tight style. Their biggest home win has been 1-0 and their biggest away victory 2-3. They rarely blow teams away but often stay within a one-goal margin either way. Their heaviest home defeat has been 1-3, while away their largest loss was 2-1. Those scorelines reveal a team that largely stays competitive in matches, even in defeat, but can be vulnerable when stretched.
Awassa Kenema have shown an ability to win by comfortable but controlled margins. Their biggest home victory has been 2-0, while their most emphatic away success came with a 1-3 scoreline. In contrast, their heaviest home loss was by 0-1 and away by 1-0, pointing to a side that rarely collapses, even when beaten. Most of their defeats come in tight contests, in which small details or single moments decide the outcome.
Head-to-head patterns this season underline how closely matched these clubs can be. Adama Kenema’s biggest home win in the league has been 1-0, with a notable away success by 2-3. Those scorelines reflect a team that, when it does get on top, tends to rely on narrow victories rather than heavy thrashings. Awassa Kenema’s own winning margins, particularly the 1-3 away result, mirror that tendency for games involving these sides to be decided by one or two key goals.
The current league table context places added weight on this fixture. Adama Kenema’s home resilience has kept them in mid-table safety but has not yet allowed them to mount a sustained push toward the top positions. Turning home draws into victories is essential if they are to close the gap to the leading pack. Every dropped point at home now carries extra significance in the second half of the season.
Awassa Kenema, by contrast, appear better positioned to put pressure on the upper reaches of the table. Their away record of 9 wins provides a strong foundation for a possible charge toward continental qualification spots or a higher league finish. Avoiding defeat at Adama would maintain their upward trajectory; a win could mark an important step in transforming strong form into a sustained challenge near the summit.
Recent form trends give both sides reasons for optimism. Adama’s DDDWW run suggests growing stability and confidence, especially as the two wins came after a trio of stalemates. Tackling a team with such a strong away profile will test whether that improvement is durable. If they extend that sequence with another positive result, it would confirm a genuine upturn rather than a brief surge.
Awassa’s WLWWD pattern indicates a team in rhythm, capable of responding well to setbacks. That W-L-W-W-D sequence highlights resilience after a defeat and an ability to rediscover their best level quickly. Carrying that mentality into a challenging away venue such as Adama is crucial if they are to maintain pressure on teams above them in the standings.
The tactical battle is likely to revolve around whether Adama Kenema can convert territorial control and home comfort into clear chances. Their record of 11 matches without scoring underlines that possession alone has not always translated into goals. They will need sharper movement in the final third, quicker passing in advanced areas and better decision-making in front of goal to break through a defence that has already kept 7 clean sheets this season.
Awassa Kenema are expected to approach the game with their usual balance between organised defence and incisive counter-attacking. Their ability to secure clean sheets and hit on the break has served them well away from home. An early goal for Awassa could tilt the contest heavily in their favour, forcing Adama to chase the game and potentially exposing spaces that the visitors’ forwards can exploit.
Psychological factors also play a role, with Adama’s strong home record of only 2 league defeats giving them belief that they can stand up to Awassa’s away strength. The high volume of home draws, though, may linger in the minds of supporters and players alike. Failing to turn control into three points has cost them throughout the season, and nerves could surface if the match remains goalless into the later stages.
Awassa Kenema’s players will draw confidence from their 9 away wins and their consistent ability to manage tight games. Knowing that their heaviest away defeat has only been 1-0 reinforces a sense of durability. Even if they fall behind, they can reference previous away comebacks and narrow scorelines as proof that they remain in contention until the final whistle.
From a statistical perspective, the contrast between Adama’s home solidity and Awassa’s away productivity sets up a finely balanced contest. Adama’s 6 home wins against Awassa’s 9 away victories illustrate two strong dimensions colliding. The high draw count for Adama suggests that a shared result remains a realistic outcome, yet Awassa’s away win ratio shows that they will likely push for more than a single point.
The goal margins recorded by both teams imply that this match is unlikely to produce a heavy scoreline. Adama’s biggest home win of 1-0 and Awassa’s pattern of narrow defeats suggest that any winner may only edge the contest by a single goal. Fine margins, set pieces and defensive concentration are therefore likely to decide the points.
Coaches on both sides will be conscious of the broader league picture. For Adama Kenema, three points at home against a strong away side would send a message that they can still climb the table and repair earlier inconsistencies in front of goal. For Awassa Kenema, an away win or even a hard-fought draw would consolidate their position among the stronger teams in the division and maintain momentum during a critical phase of the season.
Supporters can anticipate a competitive, tactically disciplined encounter rather than an open shootout. Adama’s record of low-scoring home wins and Awassa’s mixture of clean sheets and controlled victories point toward a game where structure, defensive organisation and patience may matter more than sheer attacking volume.
Adama Kenema’s task is to break the recurring pattern of goalless outings that has hampered their campaign. With 11 matches without scoring already on record, they cannot afford for this to become another blank, particularly at home. Early intent, quicker transitions into attack and more direct service into dangerous areas may be needed to unsettle a confident Awassa back line.
Awassa Kenema, meanwhile, will rely on their strong away mentality, defensive stability and proven ability to manage tight margins. With 7 clean sheets and a record of 9 away wins, they have shown repeatedly that they know how to close out games on their travels. Replicating that formula at Adama would strengthen their league position and reinforce their status as one of the division’s most effective away sides.
The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:
- Assists: (Adama Kenema) — 0 assists, (Awassa Kenema) — 0 assists.
- Goalkeepers saves: (Adama Kenema) — 0, (Awassa Kenema) — 0
- Tackles: None (Adama Kenema) — None, None (Awassa Kenema) — None.
- Most encounters won: (Adama Kenema) — 0, (Awassa Kenema) — 0.
- Yellow cards: None (Adama Kenema) — None, None (Awassa Kenema) — None.
- Red cards: None (Adama Kenema) — None, None (Awassa Kenema) — None.
Top 5 scorers this season:
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Team statistics:
The five previous matches played by the teams:
- Adama Kenema — DDDWW
- Awassa Kenema — WLWWD
According to home statistics this season, Adama Kenema scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 6.67% | 41.67% |
| 16-30 | 20.00% | 25.00% |
| 31-45 | 6.67% | 8.33% |
| 46-60 | 13.33% | 8.33% |
| 61-75 | 20.00% | 16.67% |
| 76-90 | 33.33% | |
| 91-105 |
Awassa Kenema has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 15.00% | 18.18% |
| 16-30 | 15.00% | 27.27% |
| 31-45 | 5.00% | 36.36% |
| 46-60 | 25.00% | 9.09% |
| 61-75 | 20.00% | 9.09% |
| 76-90 | 20.00% | |
| 91-105 |
Head-to-head stats:
| Teams | Games | Win | Draws | Losses | |||
| H | A | H | A | H | A | ||
| Adama Kenema | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Awassa Kenema | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
Probabilities before the match:
| Adama Kenema | Awassa Kenema | |
| 45.2% | Winning the game | 45.2% |
| 54% | Attack potential | 54% |
| 14% | Potential in defense | 14% |
| 60% | Strength against each other | 60% |
| 65% | Goal Potential | 65% |
Summary: the probability of Awassa Kenema winning – 45%, draw – 45%, loss – 10%. Thus Adama Kenema, most likely, loss (loss or draw)
Goal Forecast:Adama Kenema, is likely to score -1.5 goals, Awassa Kenema is likely to score no more than -1.5.
The bookmaker odds for this match:
| Home win | Draw | Away win |
| 0 | 0 | 0 |
Save the date
The match between the teams Adama Kenema and Awassa Kenema will take place on February 06 at 13:00 (GMT) at the stadium Adama Stadium.
