Türkiye v USA: Balogun leads in‑form visitors against goal-shy hosts in June showdown

Türkiye face USA on 26 June at 02:00 GMT in a competitive fixture that pits a struggling home side against an American team in strong recent form and climbing momentum in the international football landscape.

USA arrive with two consecutive wins, while Türkiye come into this match on the back of two straight defeats, underlining a sharp contrast in current trajectories. The fixture sits within an organised international competition framework with league-style implications, meaning points, ranking and seeding value are at stake rather than this being a low-key friendly.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: (Türkiye) — 0 assists, Alexander Freeman (USA) — 1 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: Uğurcan Çakır (Türkiye) — 2, Matthew Freese (USA) — 0
• Tackles: None (Türkiye) — None, None (USA) — None.
• Most encounters won: Abdülkerim Bardakcı (Türkiye) — 9, Alexander Freeman (USA) — 9.
• Yellow cards: None (Türkiye) — None, None (USA) — None.
• Red cards: None (Türkiye) — None, None (USA) — None.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. L. Messi (5, Argentina)
2. Kylian Mbappé (4, France)
3. E. Haaland (4, Norway)
4. D. Undav (3, Germany)
5. J. David (3, Canada)

Team statistics:

Türkiye have yet to find attacking fluency this season, scoring 0 goals so far. This blunt edge in the final third has increased pressure on the home attack and leaves the side heavily reliant on defensive resilience that has not always held under sustained pressure. In contrast, Folarin Balogun has scored 2 goals for USA, emerging as the clear focal point for the American forward line and the main individual threat in this encounter.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Türkiye — LL
• USA — WW

Türkiye’s home record this season offers little comfort. They have recorded 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in front of their own supporters, underlining both attacking and defensive vulnerabilities. Their biggest defeat at home has been 0-1, while away they have suffered a 2-0 loss. The narrow margins show that matches are often tight, but the inability to convert chances and respond after falling behind has proved costly in the context of a league-style competition where every point matters.

According to home statistics this season, Türkiye scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15		33.33%
16-30		33.33%
31-45		33.33%
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

USA has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	75.00%	66.67%
16-30	25.00%	33.33%
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Türkiye	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
USA		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Türkiye		USA
46.0%	Winning the game	46.0%
0%	Attack potential	0%
25%	Potential in defense	25%
100%	Strength against each other	100%
67%	Goal Potential	67%

Summary: the probability of USA winning – 45%, draw – 45%, loss – 10%. Thus Türkiye, most likely, loss (loss or draw)

Goal Forecast:Türkiye, is likely to score None goals, USA is likely to score no more than -3.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
Betano 3.6	Pinnacle 3.66	SBO 2.0

Save the date

The match between the teams Türkiye and USA will take place on June 26 at 02:00 (GMT) at the stadium SoFi Stadium.