Tunisia v Netherlands: Rekik and Van Dijk target breakthrough in late-night Group clash

Tunisia face the Netherlands on 25 June at 23:00 (GMT) in a key group-stage match that could shape their campaigns, with both sides looking to sharpen form after contrasting recent runs.

Tunisia arrive under pressure after back-to-back defeats, their last five games reading LL and exposing defensive and attacking frailties. The North Africans have struggled to impose themselves at home, recording 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in front of their own supporters this season in this competition. Their heaviest home defeat stands at 0-4, while away they have suffered a 5-1 loss, underlining a vulnerability when games turn against them.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: Hannibal Mejbri (Tunisia) — 1 assists, Ryan Gravenberch (Netherlands) — 2 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: Abdelmouhib Chamakh (Tunisia) — 1, Bart Verbruggen (Netherlands) — 1
• Tackles: None (Tunisia) — None, None (Netherlands) — None.
• Most encounters won: Hannibal Mejbri (Tunisia) — 11, Cody Gakpo (Netherlands) — 7.
• Yellow cards: None (Tunisia) — None, None (Netherlands) — None.
• Red cards: None (Tunisia) — None, None (Netherlands) — None.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. D. Undav (3, Germany)
2. J. David (3, Canada)
3. L. Messi (3, Argentina)
4. C. Summerville (2, Netherlands)
5. Mikel Oyarzabal (2, Spain)

Team statistics:

Netherlands travel in stronger shape, with their last five fixtures showing DW, a pattern that suggests resilience and the capacity to grind out results. Away from home, they have been difficult to beat, with a record of 1 win, 1 draw and 0 defeats on the road. Their biggest victory this season came with a 5-1 home win, while they have yet to suffer a significant reverse either at home or away in this campaign.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Tunisia — LL
• Netherlands — DW

The league and group context adds urgency for Tunisia, who sit in the lower reaches of the standings after those two consecutive losses. Points are critical if they are to keep realistic hopes of progression alive, especially with their goal difference dented by those heavy defeats. Failure to take something from this fixture would leave them relying on other results and a dramatic turnaround in form.

According to home statistics this season, Tunisia scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	100.00%	22.22%
16-30		11.11%
31-45		11.11%
46-60		11.11%
61-75		11.11%
76-90		33.33%
91-105

Netherlands has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	14.29%	66.67%
16-30	14.29%	33.33%
31-45	42.86%
46-60	14.29%
61-75	14.29%
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Tunisia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Netherlands		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Tunisia		Netherlands
19.0%	Winning the game	19.0%
13%	Attack potential	13%
25%	Potential in defense	25%
0%	Strength against each other	0%
0%	Goal Potential	0%

Summary: the probability of Netherlands winning – 50%, draw – 50%, loss – 0. Thus Tunisia, most likely, loss (loss or draw)

Goal Forecast:Tunisia, is likely to score -1.5 goals, Netherlands is likely to score no more than -4.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
10Bet 29.0	SBO 9.7	Bet365 1.13

Save the date

The match between the teams Tunisia and Netherlands will take place on June 25 at 23:00 (GMT) at the stadium Arrowhead Stadium.