Mekelle Kenema v Bahardar: Form, stats and stakes ahead of key league clash in Ethiopia
Mekelle Kenema host Bahardar on 30 May at 13:00 (GMT) in a league fixture that pits one of the division’s most inconsistent home sides against one of its most resilient travellers.
Mekelle Kenema come into the match in poor form, with their last five league results reading LDDDL. That sequence underlines a side struggling to convert draws into wins and to turn performances into points. Bahardar arrive in far better shape, with a recent run of WDDDL, suggesting greater stability and an ability to take something from tight contests.
The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:
- Assists: (Mekelle Kenema) — 0 assists, (Bahardar) — 0 assists.
- Goalkeepers saves: (Mekelle Kenema) — 0, (Bahardar) — 0
- Tackles: None (Mekelle Kenema) — None, None (Bahardar) — None.
- Most encounters won: (Mekelle Kenema) — 0, (Bahardar) — 0.
- Yellow cards: None (Mekelle Kenema) — None, None (Bahardar) — None.
- Red cards: None (Mekelle Kenema) — None, None (Bahardar) — None.
Top 5 scorers this season:
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Team statistics:
The league table context places significant weight on this encounter. Mekelle Kenema’s record of seven home wins, 13 draws and 10 defeats this season reflects a campaign marked by fine margins and frustrating stalemates. The hosts have been difficult to beat at times but have also failed to build sustained momentum, which has limited their climb in the standings.
The five previous matches played by the teams:
- Mekelle Kenema — LDDDL
- Bahardar — WDDDL
Bahardar’s away record offers a stark contrast. With nine wins, 18 draws and six defeats on the road, they have developed a reputation as one of the toughest travelling sides in the league. Their ability to avoid defeat, particularly away from home, has been central to their position in the upper reaches of the table and keeps them in contention for further progress in the league system.
According to home statistics this season, Mekelle Kenema scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 13.64% | 14.81% |
| 16-30 | 18.18% | 7.41% |
| 31-45 | 4.55% | 22.22% |
| 46-60 | 36.36% | 14.81% |
| 61-75 | 4.55% | 18.52% |
| 76-90 | 18.18% | 22.22% |
| 91-105 | 4.55% |
Bahardar has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 7.69% | 8.70% |
| 16-30 | 3.85% | 21.74% |
| 31-45 | 15.38% | 21.74% |
| 46-60 | 34.62% | 8.70% |
| 61-75 | 19.23% | 21.74% |
| 76-90 | 19.23% | 17.39% |
| 91-105 |
Head-to-head stats:
| Teams | Games | Win | Draws | Losses | |||
| H | A | H | A | H | A | ||
| Mekelle Kenema | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Bahardar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
Probabilities before the match:
| Mekelle Kenema | Bahardar | |
| 32.5% | Winning the game | 32.5% |
| 33% | Attack potential | 33% |
| 29% | Potential in defense | 29% |
| 25% | Strength against each other | 25% |
| 33% | Goal Potential | 33% |
Summary: the probability of Bahardar winning – 50%, draw – 50%, loss – 0. Thus Mekelle Kenema, most likely, loss (loss or draw)
Goal Forecast:Mekelle Kenema, is likely to score -1.5 goals, Bahardar is likely to score no more than -2.5.
The bookmaker odds for this match:
| Home win | Draw | Away win |
| 0 | 0 | 0 |
Save the date
The match between the teams Mekelle Kenema and Bahardar will take place on May 30 at 13:00 (GMT) at the stadium .
