Ecuador v Germany: Havertz form under scrutiny as South Americans seek statement win in June friendly

Ecuador face Germany on 25 June at 20:00 (GMT) in a high-profile international friendly, with Kai Havertz looking to extend his strong scoring run for the visitors and the hosts chasing a landmark result against European opposition.

Germany arrive in form, having won their last two matches, while Ecuador’s recent run reads one draw and one defeat. The contrast in momentum adds an edge to what is officially a friendly but carries competitive undertones for both teams’ long-term plans.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: (Ecuador) — 0 assists, Joshua Kimmich (Germany) — 2 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: Hernán Galíndez (Ecuador) — 3, Manuel Neuer (Germany) — 1
• Tackles: None (Ecuador) — None, None (Germany) — None.
• Most encounters won: Piero Hincapié (Ecuador) — 8, Nico Schlotterbeck (Germany) — 9.
• Yellow cards: None (Ecuador) — None, None (Germany) — None.
• Red cards: None (Ecuador) — None, None (Germany) — None.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. D. Undav (3, Germany)
2. J. David (3, Canada)
3. L. Messi (3, Argentina)
4. C. Summerville (2, Netherlands)
5. Mikel Oyarzabal (2, Spain)

Team statistics:

Havertz has scored 2 goals this season for Germany and is expected to lead or heavily influence the attack again. Ecuador, by contrast, have seen their forwards struggle for cutting edge in recent fixtures, with one key attacker on 0 goals this season, underlining the imbalance in firepower between the sides.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Ecuador — LD
• Germany — WW

Germany’s recent away record strengthens their status as favourites. They have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses on the road this season, showing they can control games outside their borders. Ecuador, meanwhile, have been inconsistent at home, with 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in front of their own fans in this campaign.

According to home statistics this season, Ecuador scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15		100.00%
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

Germany has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	11.11%	100.00%
16-30	22.22%
31-45	11.11%
46-60	22.22%
61-75	33.33%
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Ecuador	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Germany		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Ecuador		Germany
40.5%	Winning the game	40.5%
0%	Attack potential	0%
67%	Potential in defense	67%
0%	Strength against each other	0%
0%	Goal Potential	0%

Summary: the probability of Germany winning – 45%, draw – 45%, loss – 10%. Thus Ecuador, most likely, loss (loss or draw)

Goal Forecast:Ecuador, is likely to score None goals, Germany is likely to score no more than -5.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
SBO 3.86	Bet365 3.92	Unibet 1.91

Save the date

The match between the teams Ecuador and Germany will take place on June 25 at 20:00 (GMT) at the stadium MetLife Stadium.