South Africa v Canada: Bafana Bafana seek statement win as Cyle Larin leads Canadian charge in June 28 showdown

South Africa face Canada on 28 June at 19:00 (GMT) in a contest that will test both sides’ recent inconsistency and attacking efficiency, with the match framed by contrasting form lines and tight margins in front of goal.

South Africa enter the game with a recent sequence of LDW across their last five fixtures, underlining a stop-start run that has stalled momentum at key moments. Canada arrive with DWL from their last five matches, signalling slightly stronger form but still exposing vulnerabilities, especially when trying to convert dominance into wins.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: (South Africa) — 0 assists, Promise David (Canada) — 1 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: Ronwen Williams (South Africa) — 2, Maxime Crépeau (Canada) — 2
• Tackles: None (South Africa) — None, None (Canada) — None.
• Most encounters won: Khuliso Mudau (South Africa) — 7, Luc De Fougerolles (Canada) — 11.
• Yellow cards: None (South Africa) — None, None (Canada) — None.
• Red cards: None (South Africa) — None, None (Canada) — None.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. L. Messi (5, Argentina)
2. Vinícius Júnior (4, Brazil)
3. Kylian Mbappé (4, France)
4. E. Haaland (4, Norway)
5. D. Undav (3, Germany)

Team statistics:

South Africa have struggled for cutting edge this season, with their leading forward having scored 0 goals for the national team in this campaign. That lack of end product places additional scrutiny on their attacking structure and chance creation, particularly against a Canadian back line that has shown spells of defensive resilience.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• South Africa — LDW
• Canada — DWL

Canada will lean heavily on Cyle Larin, who has scored 1 goal for his country this season and remains their primary threat in the final third. His movement between the lines and penalty-box presence make him the focal point of Canada’s attack, especially in transitions and set-piece situations where his timing in the air and composure in the area are decisive.

According to home statistics this season, South Africa scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	50.00%	66.67%
16-30	50.00%	33.33%
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

Canada has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	25.00%	25.00%
16-30	25.00%	50.00%
31-45	12.50%	25.00%
46-60	37.50%
61-75
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
South Africa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Canada		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

South Africa		Canada
40.0%	Winning the game	40.0%
20%	Attack potential	20%
50%	Potential in defense	50%
0%	Strength against each other	0%
0%	Goal Potential	0%

Summary: the probability of Canada winning – 30%, draw – 35%, loss – 35%. Thus South Africa, most likely, win (win or draw)

Goal Forecast:South Africa, is likely to score -1.5 goals, Canada is likely to score no more than -3.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
SBO 5.79	Bet365 3.64	Marathonbet 1.71

Save the date

The match between the teams South Africa and Canada will take place on June 28 at 19:00 (GMT) at the stadium SoFi Stadium.