Paraguay v Australia: Group clash finely poised as both chase momentum in tight section

Paraguay face Australia on 26 June at 02:00 (GMT) in a group-stage meeting that could prove decisive in a tight league-style table, with both sides looking to build consistency after mixed recent form.

Paraguay arrive with a last-five record of LW, combining a win with a defeat that underlines their inconsistency in this campaign. Australia’s sequence of WL mirrors that pattern from the opposite direction, suggesting two evenly matched teams whose place in the section could hinge on small details.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: Julio Enciso (Paraguay) — 1 assists, Paul Okon-Engstler (Australia) — 1 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: Orlando Gill (Paraguay) — 3, Patrick Beach (Australia) — 8
• Tackles: None (Paraguay) — None, None (Australia) — None.
• Most encounters won: Juan Cáceres (Paraguay) — 10, Harry Souttar (Australia) — 6.
• Yellow cards: None (Paraguay) — None, None (Australia) — None.
• Red cards: None (Paraguay) — None, None (Australia) — None.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. L. Messi (5, Argentina)
2. Kylian Mbappé (4, France)
3. E. Haaland (4, Norway)
4. D. Undav (3, Germany)
5. J. David (3, Canada)

Team statistics:

The group standings remain compressed, with minimal points separating the middle positions. Paraguay’s home record reads one win and one defeat, highlighting a tendency to swing between solid performances and costly lapses. Australia, operating away, have also posted one victory and one loss on the road, showing they are capable of taking points but not yet demonstrating sustained authority.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Paraguay — LW
• Australia — WL

Paraguay’s biggest home win this season has come with a clean, narrow scoreline, reflecting a team that often relies on defensive discipline and tight margins. Their biggest away victory, 0-1, confirms that pattern: they are comfortable edging games by a single goal rather than opening up opponents with heavy scorelines. Their heaviest away defeat, 4-1, exposes what can happen when the balance tips against them and they are forced to chase matches.

According to home statistics this season, Paraguay scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	66.67%	66.67%
16-30	33.33%	33.33%
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

Australia has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	33.33%	100.00%
16-30	33.33%
31-45	33.33%
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Paraguay	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Australia		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Paraguay		Australia
44.3%	Winning the game	44.3%
50%	Attack potential	50%
33%	Potential in defense	33%
0%	Strength against each other	0%
0%	Goal Potential	0%

Summary: the probability of Australia winning – 45%, draw – 45%, loss – 10%. Thus Paraguay, most likely, loss (loss or draw)

Goal Forecast:Paraguay, is likely to score -1.5 goals, Australia is likely to score no more than -1.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
SBO 3.04	Bet365 2.16	Marathonbet 3.95

Save the date

The match between the teams Paraguay and Australia will take place on June 26 at 02:00 (GMT) at the stadium Levi’s Stadium.