Bahardar host Ethiopia Nigd Bank on 5 February at 12:00 GMT in a league meeting that could shape the battle for mid‑table security and momentum in the Ethiopian top flight.
Bahardar enter the match on a mixed run of form, with their last five league games reading WDDDL. That sequence underlines a side that has been difficult to beat but has struggled to turn draws into victories. Ethiopia Nigd Bank arrive with a similar profile, registering DDLWD over their previous five fixtures, suggesting inconsistency but also resilience away from home.
Bahardar have built their campaign on solid home foundations. This season they have recorded 4 wins, 11 draws and 3 defeats in front of their own supporters. That pattern reflects a cautious approach at home, where they often avoid defeat but drop points through stalemates. Their biggest home league win so far has been 3-1, while their heaviest home loss finished 1-3, showing they rarely get overwhelmed on their own pitch.
Away from home, Ethiopia Nigd Bank have produced a steady yet unspectacular record. They have 4 away wins, 8 draws and 6 defeats this season. Their best away success has come by a narrow 1-0 scoreline, highlighting a team that often relies on defensive discipline and single-goal margins. Their worst away defeat has been 3-1, indicating that when they do lose on the road, they can be opened up if forced to chase the game.
Bahardar’s inconsistency in front of goal has been a key theme of their league campaign. They have failed to score in 11 matches this season, a statistic that explains the high number of draws and their difficulty climbing the table. Long periods without a breakthrough have placed pressure on their defence to hold firm, and any lapse has often proved costly in tight contests.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank have shown greater stability at the back across the season. They have kept clean sheets in 4 league matches, which has helped them secure valuable points, especially away from home where tight 0-0 or 1-0 results can have a significant impact on league positioning. Their most convincing home league win has been 3-1, while that 1-0 away victory stands as their best result on the road in terms of control and defensive structure.
The head‑to‑head pattern this season adds another layer to the contest. Bahardar’s biggest home win has been by a 3-1 scoreline, and they have also delivered a notable 2-1 success away from home in the league. Conversely, their worst away defeat has also been 3-1, mirroring the margin of Ethiopia Nigd Bank’s heaviest road loss. These parallel scorelines underline how both clubs tend to be involved in competitive, high‑energy matches rather than heavy one‑sided encounters.
From a league‑table perspective, both sides sit in the congested middle section, where a single win or defeat can move a club several places. Bahardar’s tendency to draw heavily at home has limited their upward mobility despite being difficult to beat. Ethiopia Nigd Bank’s away record of 4 wins and 8 draws means they often leave with something, but a lack of regular victories has similarly capped their progress towards the top of the standings.
Recent form offers contrasting narratives. Bahardar’s run of WDDDL shows only one defeat in five but also just one win, pointing to a need for greater cutting edge if they are to turn their home ground into a decisive advantage. Ethiopia Nigd Bank’s DDLWD sequence reveals a gradual improvement, finishing that stretch with a win that could provide additional confidence heading into this fixture.
Tactically, Bahardar are likely to place emphasis on breaking their opponents down early, conscious of their record of 11 matches without scoring this season. An early goal could transform the dynamic, forcing Ethiopia Nigd Bank to open up and allowing Bahardar to exploit spaces. If the hosts again struggle in front of goal, the contest may drift towards another low‑scoring stalemate, a scenario that has defined much of their campaign.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank are expected to rely on compact defending and quick transitions, an approach that has delivered those narrow away wins and multiple draws. Their 4 clean sheets overall show they can close games down when they settle into a rhythm. The visitors will look to frustrate Bahardar, slow the tempo, and then strike when mistakes occur in midfield or at the back.
Home and away trends suggest a tight contest. Bahardar’s home record of 4 wins and 11 draws indicates they rarely collapse in front of their own fans but do struggle to finish matches off. Ethiopia Nigd Bank’s away figures of 4 wins and 8 draws back up an image of a team content to grind out results, happy to leave with a point but capable of snatching victory if chances fall their way.
Psychologically, both teams know that a win would provide crucial breathing space in the league. For Bahardar, three points would reward their home solidity and help translate their defensive stability into tangible progress on the table. For Ethiopia Nigd Bank, an away victory would confirm their reputation as awkward, disciplined travellers and could nudge them closer to the leading pack.
Discipline and concentration are likely to be decisive. With both sides familiar with 3-1 scorelines in their biggest wins and heaviest losses, a single shift in momentum could flip the match. If either team concedes first, their response under pressure will reveal a lot about their psychological resilience at this stage of the season.
The statistical balance between the clubs sets up a fixture where fine margins will matter. Bahardar’s 11 goalless outings contrast sharply with Ethiopia Nigd Bank’s ability to dig in defensively and post clean sheets. That combination increases the likelihood of a low‑scoring encounter decided by set pieces, a defensive error or one moment of individual quality.
Supporters will be aware of the stakes. Bahardar fans will demand a more ruthless display in the final third to complement their stable home structure. Ethiopia Nigd Bank followers will watch for the same away resilience that has already produced 4 wins and a string of drawn matches beyond their own ground.
In the broader context of the league season, this meeting sits at the intersection of ambition and reality. Both teams have indicated they can compete with stronger sides but have been held back by inconsistency. The outcome of Bahardar vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank could signal whether either club is ready to push towards the top half or remains locked in the midfield battle.
The numbers suggest a cautious, closely fought league fixture. Bahardar’s home profile and Ethiopia Nigd Bank’s away resilience point towards a structured match rather than a free‑flowing spectacle. With their recent form lines of WDDDL and DDLWD respectively, a single decisive moment may separate the sides when they meet on 5 February at 12:00 GMT.
The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:
- Assists: (Bahardar) — 0 assists, (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) — 0 assists.
- Goalkeepers saves: (Bahardar) — 0, (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) — 0
- Tackles: None (Bahardar) — None, None (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) — None.
- Most encounters won: (Bahardar) — 0, (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) — 0.
- Yellow cards: None (Bahardar) — None, None (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) — None.
- Red cards: None (Bahardar) — None, None (Ethiopia Nigd Bank) — None.
Top 5 scorers this season:
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Team statistics:
The five previous matches played by the teams:
- Bahardar — WDDDL
- Ethiopia Nigd Bank — DDLWD
According to home statistics this season, Bahardar scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 8.33% | 9.09% |
| 16-30 | 16.67% | 9.09% |
| 31-45 | 25.00% | 18.18% |
| 46-60 | 16.67% | 9.09% |
| 61-75 | 33.33% | 36.36% |
| 76-90 | 18.18% | |
| 91-105 |
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 16.67% | 20.00% |
| 16-30 | 5.56% | 30.00% |
| 31-45 | 22.22% | 10.00% |
| 46-60 | 16.67% | 5.00% |
| 61-75 | 16.67% | 20.00% |
| 76-90 | 22.22% | 15.00% |
| 91-105 |
Head-to-head stats:
| Teams | Games | Win | Draws | Losses | |||
| H | A | H | A | H | A | ||
| Bahardar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Probabilities before the match:
| Bahardar | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
| 60.7% | Winning the game | 60.7% |
| 43% | Attack potential | 43% |
| 78% | Potential in defense | 78% |
| 50% | Strength against each other | 50% |
| 60% | Goal Potential | 60% |
Summary: the probability of Ethiopia Nigd Bank winning – 10%, draw – 45%, loss – 45%. Thus Bahardar, most likely, win (win or draw)
Goal Forecast:Bahardar, is likely to score -1.5 goals, Ethiopia Nigd Bank is likely to score no more than -1.5.
The bookmaker odds for this match:
| Home win | Draw | Away win |
| 0 | 0 | 0 |
Save the date
The match between the teams Bahardar and Ethiopia Nigd Bank will take place on February 05 at 12:00 (GMT) at the stadium Bahir Dar Stadium.







