Welwalo Adigrat Uni v Hadiya Hosaena: Relegation-threatened sides seek turning point in Ethiopian league clash

Welwalo Adigrat Uni host Hadiya Hosaena on 22 June at 15:00 (GMT) in a league meeting shaped by poor form, fragile confidence and a growing need for points at both ends of the table.

Welwalo approach the fixture on a five-game run of LLDLL, a sequence that has dragged them towards the lower reaches of the standings and exposed long-running problems in both penalty areas. Hadiya Hosaena’s recent record of LDDLD is slightly better but still underlines a team stuck in a pattern of stalemates and narrow defeats that has stalled their progress in the Ethiopian league system.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — 0 assists, (Hadiya Hosaena) — 0 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — 0, (Hadiya Hosaena) — 0
• Tackles: None (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — None, None (Hadiya Hosaena) — None.
• Most encounters won: (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — 0, (Hadiya Hosaena) — 0.
• Yellow cards: None (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — None, None (Hadiya Hosaena) — None.
• Red cards: None (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — None, None (Hadiya Hosaena) — None.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. (0, )
2. (0, )
3. (0, )
4. (0, )
5. (0, )

Team statistics:

League position and context frame this match as a chance for both clubs to arrest their decline. Welwalo’s inconsistent home campaign, with 9 wins, 15 draws and 11 losses, has left them short of the solidity usually needed to pull clear of danger. Hadiya, with 10 wins, 13 draws and 12 defeats away from home, have shown they can compete on the road but lack the ruthlessness to convert competitive performances into a sustained climb up the table.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Welwalo Adigrat Uni — LLDLL
• Hadiya Hosaena — LDDLD

Goal statistics for both sides reveal why they occupy mid-to-lower positions in the league. Welwalo have gone 13 matches this season without scoring, a figure that underlines their struggles in the final third and explains the pressure on their forwards. Hadiya have managed 11 clean sheets, a respectable defensive record that contrasts with their lack of cutting edge up front, where neither side can point to a standout goalscorer in this particular fixture. Players for Welwalo and Hadiya listed as involved here have each scored 0 goals this season for their respective clubs, a reminder of the shared attacking problems that define this contest.

According to home statistics this season, Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	16.13%	26.47%
16-30	12.90%	11.76%
31-45	19.35%	14.71%
46-60	6.45%	8.82%
61-75	19.35%	26.47%
76-90	22.58%	11.76%
91-105	3.23%

Hadiya Hosaena has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	6.90%	20.59%
16-30	10.34%	14.71%
31-45	27.59%	20.59%
46-60	10.34%	14.71%
61-75	20.69%	20.59%
76-90	24.14%	8.82%
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Welwalo Adigrat Uni	2	0	0	0	1	1	0
Hadiya Hosaena		0	1	1	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Welwalo Adigrat Uni		Hadiya Hosaena
47.8%	Winning the game	47.8%
50%	Attack potential	50%
50%	Potential in defense	50%
50%	Strength against each other	50%
50%	Goal Potential	50%

Summary: the probability of Hadiya Hosaena winning – 45%, draw – 45%, loss – 10%. Thus Welwalo Adigrat Uni, most likely, loss (loss or draw)

Goal Forecast:Welwalo Adigrat Uni, is likely to score -1.5 goals, Hadiya Hosaena is likely to score no more than -1.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
0	0	0

Save the date

The match between the teams Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Hadiya Hosaena will take place on June 22 at 15:00 (GMT) at the stadium .