Fasil Ketema v Arba Minch Kenema: Form, defence and away record under scrutiny in Ethiopian Premier League clash

Fasil Ketema face Arba Minch Kenema on 20 June at 15:00 GMT in an Ethiopian Premier League fixture where recent form, defensive discipline and away struggles are set to define the contest.

Fasil Ketema arrive with strong momentum, having gone five league matches unbeaten with a sequence of DWWWD. That run has stabilised their position in the league table and kept them competitive in the battle for higher places. Their recent consistency contrasts sharply with a more erratic overall season that has included 19 matches in which they failed to score, underlining how dependent they can be on form swings.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: (Fasil Ketema) — 0 assists, (Arba Minch Kenema) — 0 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: (Fasil Ketema) — 0, (Arba Minch Kenema) — 0
• Tackles: None (Fasil Ketema) — None, None (Arba Minch Kenema) — None.
• Most encounters won: (Fasil Ketema) — 0, (Arba Minch Kenema) — 0.
• Yellow cards: None (Fasil Ketema) — None, None (Arba Minch Kenema) — None.
• Red cards: None (Fasil Ketema) — None, None (Arba Minch Kenema) — None.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. (0, )
2. (0, )
3. (0, )
4. (0, )
5. (0, )

Team statistics:

Arba Minch Kenema travel with a mixed picture. Their last five games show DDLLD, reflecting only two points from a possible 15 and exposing problems turning draws into wins and stopping losing runs. Despite that, they have posted seven away victories this season, a figure that keeps them dangerous on the road even when confidence is fragile.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Fasil Ketema — DWWWD
• Arba Minch Kenema — DDLLD

League performance emphasises the importance of this fixture for both clubs. Fasil Ketema’s home campaign shows 12 wins, 13 draws and 10 defeats, a record that suggests inconsistency rather than dominance. They have been capable of impressive home results, including their biggest home win of the season, a 3-1 victory, but they have also suffered a heavy 0-3 home defeat, which reveals vulnerability when pressed aggressively.

According to home statistics this season, Fasil Ketema scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	15.38%	3.85%
16-30	7.69%	7.69%
31-45	23.08%	34.62%
46-60	11.54%	23.08%
61-75	19.23%	30.77%
76-90	23.08%
91-105

Arba Minch Kenema has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	10.00%	21.95%
16-30	13.33%	17.07%
31-45	20.00%	17.07%
46-60	16.67%	17.07%
61-75	13.33%	9.76%
76-90	26.67%	17.07%
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Fasil Ketema	2	0	1	1	0	0	0
Arba Minch Kenema		0	0	0	1	1	0

Probabilities before the match:

Fasil Ketema		Arba Minch Kenema
45.0%	Winning the game	45.0%
50%	Attack potential	50%
50%	Potential in defense	50%
38%	Strength against each other	38%
45%	Goal Potential	45%

Summary: the probability of Arba Minch Kenema winning – 45%, draw – 45%, loss – 10%. Thus Fasil Ketema, most likely, loss (loss or draw)

Goal Forecast:Fasil Ketema, is likely to score -1.5 goals, Arba Minch Kenema is likely to score no more than -2.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
0	0	0

Save the date

The match between the teams Fasil Ketema and Arba Minch Kenema will take place on June 20 at 15:00 (GMT) at the stadium .