AI predicts when Kylian Mbappe could win Ballon d’Or

Kylian Mbappe remains among the leading names in the 2026 Ballon d’Or conversation, but he is not considered the overwhelming favourite before the ceremony on October 26.

The Real Madrid forward has enjoyed a superb individual year, finishing as the leading scorer in La Liga, the Champions League and the 2026 World Cup. However, the absence of major team trophies could weaken his candidacy.

An assessment by Grok suggested that Mbappé’s most realistic opportunity may come in 2027 or 2028. “Probably in 2027 or 2028 (rather 2027 if Real Madrid win the Champions League), if everything aligns. It is far from guaranteed, but it is the most credible scenario,” the AI stated.

The analysis placed Harry Kane and Lamine Yamal ahead of Mbappe in the current race because of their impressive seasons and collective honours. Mbappe was described as a likely third-to-fifth-place candidate.

Grok nevertheless believes his chances remain strong. “I think he will win it one day, because his individual level is too high and too consistent not to be rewarded eventually,” it said.

Mbappe’s rivalry with France teammate Ousmane Dembele has also added intrigue to the debate, with both players publicly discussing their Ballon d’Or ambitions.