Arba Minch Kenema v Welwalo Adigrat Uni: Relegation rivals seek late-season boost in Ethiopian Premier League
Arba Minch Kenema host Welwalo Adigrat Uni on 26 June at 15:00 (GMT) in a crucial Ethiopian Premier League fixture between two out-of-form sides struggling at the wrong end of the table.
Both teams arrive with poor recent form. Arba Minch Kenema are winless in five league matches, recording DDLLD, while Welwalo Adigrat Uni have taken just one point from their last five, with a sequence of LLDLL. The clash has the hallmarks of a tense relegation battle where a single mistake or moment of quality could decide the outcome.
The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:
- Assists: (Arba Minch Kenema) — 0 assists, (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — 0 assists.
- Goalkeepers saves: (Arba Minch Kenema) — 0, (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — 0
- Tackles: None (Arba Minch Kenema) — None, None (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — None.
- Most encounters won: (Arba Minch Kenema) — 0, (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — 0.
- Yellow cards: None (Arba Minch Kenema) — None, None (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — None.
- Red cards: None (Arba Minch Kenema) — None, None (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — None.
Top 5 scorers this season:
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Team statistics:
Arba Minch Kenema have endured a difficult campaign but remain more resilient at home than away. This season Arba Minch Kenema at home: wins – 7, draws – 14, losses – 15. They have shown an ability to grind out results in tight games, but their inability to turn draws into victories has weighed heavily on their league position.
The five previous matches played by the teams:
- Arba Minch Kenema — DDLLD
- Welwalo Adigrat Uni — LLDLL
Welwalo Adigrat Uni have struggled to impose themselves on the road. This season Welwalo Adigrat Uni away: wins – 9, draws – 15, losses – 12. That record points to a side that can compete but often fails to see out matches, dropping points from promising positions and struggling for consistency over 90 minutes.
According to home statistics this season, Arba Minch Kenema scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 10.00% | 20.93% |
| 16-30 | 13.33% | 18.60% |
| 31-45 | 20.00% | 16.28% |
| 46-60 | 16.67% | 16.28% |
| 61-75 | 13.33% | 9.30% |
| 76-90 | 26.67% | 18.60% |
| 91-105 |
Welwalo Adigrat Uni has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 16.13% | 25.71% |
| 16-30 | 12.90% | 11.43% |
| 31-45 | 19.35% | 14.29% |
| 46-60 | 6.45% | 11.43% |
| 61-75 | 19.35% | 25.71% |
| 76-90 | 22.58% | 11.43% |
| 91-105 | 3.23% |
Head-to-head stats:
| Teams | Games | Win | Draws | Losses | |||
| H | A | H | A | H | A | ||
| Arba Minch Kenema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Probabilities before the match:
| Arba Minch Kenema | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
| 47.3% | Winning the game | 47.3% |
| 57% | Attack potential | 57% |
| 33% | Potential in defense | 33% |
| 62% | Strength against each other | 62% |
| 50% | Goal Potential | 50% |
Summary: the probability of Welwalo Adigrat Uni winning – 45%, draw – 45%, loss – 10%. Thus Arba Minch Kenema, most likely, loss (loss or draw)
Goal Forecast:Arba Minch Kenema, is likely to score -1.5 goals, Welwalo Adigrat Uni is likely to score no more than -2.5.
The bookmaker odds for this match:
| Home win | Draw | Away win |
| 0 | 0 | 0 |
Save the date
The match between the teams Arba Minch Kenema and Welwalo Adigrat Uni will take place on June 26 at 15:00 (GMT) at the stadium .
