Hosts Morocco chase a first Africa Cup of Nations crown since 1976 when they face defending champions Senegal in a heavyweight final in Rabat.
Opta’s supercomputer edges the Atlas Lions as favourites, giving them a 55.4% chance of lifting only their second AFCON title on home soil.
Senegal arrive in form and full of incision, powered by Sadio Mane’s revival. The 33-year-old scored the winner against Egypt in the semi-finals, becoming the ninth player to reach 11 AFCON goals, with only four players in the competition’s history ahead of him. Mane has also created 18 chances at this tournament, all from open play, the highest such tally recorded in a single AFCON edition since 2010.
Morocco’s attacking threat centres on Brahim Díaz, who leads the scoring charts with five goals from six matches and is chasing history as the first Moroccan to finish an AFCON as outright top scorer.
Ayoub El Kaabi’s tireless pressing and Morocco’s outstanding defensive record, just one goal conceded and four straight clean sheets, underline why Regragui’s side have been long-term favourites.
With Senegal missing suspended captain Kalidou Koulibaly and both teams miserly at the back, another tight AFCON final decided by fine margins is widely anticipated.
