Artificial intelligence projections from Opta suggest Morocco and Senegal are the two teams most likely to reach the final of the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations.
Using performance data, historical trends and current tournament indicators, Opta’s model places the hosts Morocco slightly ahead of Nigeria in the first semi final. The Atlas Lions have a 57.15 percent chance of qualifying, while Nigeria stand at 42.85 percent. Morocco’s consistency, tactical stability under Walid Regragui and the influence of key players like Achraf Hakimi have strengthened their position. Nigeria remain a strong threat, led by the goal scoring form of Victor Osimhen.
In the second semi final, Senegal are given a 55.13 percent probability of reaching the final compared to Egypt’s 44.87 percent. This advantage is linked to Senegal’s recent dominance in major meetings, including the 2022 AFCON final and World Cup qualifiers. Egypt will look to challenge that trend through the leadership of Mohamed Salah.
The semi finals were confirmed after Egypt beat Ivory Coast 3-2, Senegal edged Mali 1-0, Morocco defeated Cameroon 2-0, and Nigeria eliminated Algeria 2-0.
