Barcelona v Real Madrid: Catalans backed at 1.65 to win October Clasico

FC Barcelona face Real Madrid CF in the 10th round of La Liga on 25 October 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 20:00 GMT. The hosts are priced at 1.65 to win after an exceptional domestic start, despite suffering a 4-2 defeat by Paris Saint-Germain at the Parc des Princes on Tuesday.

Nasser Eddy, a consultant for NCI Sport and presenter of the European Champions League on radio Nostalgie, believes FC Barcelona’s attacking strength can overcome their defensive weaknesses.

The Catalans had won 11 successive competitive matches before the loss in Paris. They have scored 50 goals in 12 matches this season, including at least five in six games, but have kept only four clean sheets.

Lamine Yamal has scored in each of his side’s past two matches and remains one of the main threats. FC Barcelona have won the corner count in their past four competitive fixtures and are averaging 20 shots per match during that run. Hansi Flick has accepted the team’s attacking imbalance, but it could leave them exposed to Real Madrid’s pace.

Real Madrid have won their past four matches after an inconsistent start that included league defeats by Real Betis and Atletico de Madrid. They have scored four goals in each of their past three games, although their defensive record remains less convincing, with only three clean sheets in 12 competitive matches this season.

Vinicius Jr is suspended in the league, but Jose Mourinho can call on Yan Diomande, who scored a spectacular goal in Wednesday’s 4-1 Champions League victory over Leipzig and has contributed decisively in each of his past three matches. Kylian Mbappe has scored four times in three games over the past week.

Half of Real Madrid’s goals across those three matches came in the final 10 minutes of normal time. They are averaging 15 attempts per game across their past four fixtures, suggesting an open contest. The recommended exact score is 3-2 at odds of 13.

The fixture remains one of football’s closest rivalries. In 264 meetings, FC Barcelona have won 106 times, compared with 107 victories for Real Madrid, while 51 matches have been drawn. FC Barcelona have nevertheless won six of the past seven meetings in all competitions.

Real Madrid’s only victory in that sequence came in last season’s first league meeting, a 2-1 win at Santiago Bernabeu. Their last La Liga victory at Camp Nou was on 28 October 2023, almost exactly three years before this match.

Yamal and Diomande, two attacking wingers known for their pace, dribbling and technical ability, each scored an outstanding European goal this week. They will be the principal individual attractions in the Clasico.

Other quoted markets include Yamal to score at 1.77 and Mbappe at 1.92. FC Barcelona are priced at 1.35 to win the corner count, while Real Madrid are 5.1 to score the fifth and final goal. More than 32.5 total shots is priced at 1.8.

The match is expected to produce goals and attacking play, with the recommendation favouring a FC Barcelona victory. The odds may change.