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Surprise in Egypt’s AFCON qualification chances: will a loss to Cape Verde still propel them?

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In the unfolding drama of the 2023 Africa Cup of Nations hosted in Cote d’Ivoire, Egypt’s national team maintains its chances to advance to the Round of 16 despite a draw with Ghana and Cape Verde’s resounding 3-0 victory over Mozambique in the second round of Group B clashes.

As of now, Egypt holds two points, securing the second spot in the group, while Cape Verde sits comfortably at the top with 6 points, already sealing their spot in the next stage.

Ghana follows closely in third place with one point, just edging out Mozambique on goal difference.

With one match remaining in the group stage against Cape Verde on the horizon, Egypt has three potential scenarios to secure a place in the knockout phase.

 First Opportunity: Victory over Cape Verde
The primary opportunity for the Pharaohs lies in winning their upcoming match against Cape Verde, elevating their point tally to five and securing the second spot in the group.

 Second Opportunity: A Draw
A draw against Cape Verde would present a slender chance for Egypt to advance to the second round. In the event of a draw between Ghana and Mozambique, Egypt would finish second with three points, leaving them ahead of both Ghana and Mozambique, each holding two points.

 Third Opportunity: Advancement Despite a Loss
Interestingly, Egypt can still qualify even if they lose to Cape Verde, but under specific circumstances.

If Egypt loses by a positive scoreline of 2-1 or 3-2 against Cape Verde, and Ghana and Mozambique draw with at least one goal each, Egypt would qualify in second place with two points, edging out Ghana and Mozambique on goal difference.

The final group-stage match against Cape Verde on the upcoming Monday will be a pivotal moment for Egypt, as they navigate these scenarios to secure a spot in the coveted knockout stage of the AFCON 2023.

Ibrahim Sannie

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