Réal Bamako vs ES Zarzis: home advantage under scrutiny in October 24 meeting

Réal Bamako face ES Zarzis on 24 October at 16:00 GMT, with both sides looking to establish momentum in the early stages of the season. Réal Bamako’s recent listed form is W-D-W, while ES Zarzis have recorded W-L-L in their latest three reported results.

The match is expected to be decided by Réal Bamako’s strong home record against ES Zarzis’ mixed results away from home. Réal Bamako have won two and drawn one of their home games this season, with no home defeat listed. ES Zarzis, by contrast, have won one, drawn none and lost two of their away matches.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: (Réal Bamako) — 0 assists, (ES Zarzis) — 0 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: (Réal Bamako) — 0, (ES Zarzis) — 0
• Tackles: (Réal Bamako) — 0, (ES Zarzis) — 0.
• Most encounters won: (Réal Bamako) — 0, (ES Zarzis) — 0.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. (0)
2. (0)
3. (0)
4. (0)
5. (0)

Team statistics:

That contrast gives Réal Bamako the statistical edge before kick-off, although ES Zarzis have already shown they can win on the road. The visitors will need to improve their consistency away from home if they are to take points from a side that has remained unbeaten in its own stadium.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Réal Bamako — WDW
• ES Zarzis — WLL

Both teams are listed as having scored 0 goals this season, making this an important opportunity for either attack to make an early impact. Réal Bamako will hope home advantage can help them produce the greater attacking threat, while ES Zarzis will focus on staying compact and turning any chances on the counter-attack.

According to home statistics this season, Réal Bamako scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	33.33%	100.00%
16-30	66.67%
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

ES Zarzis has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	25.00%	20.00%
16-30	25.00%	20.00%
31-45	25.00%	60.00%
46-60	25.00%
61-75
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Réal Bamako	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
ES Zarzis		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Réal Bamako		ES Zarzis
68.0%	Winning the game	68.0%
56%	Attack potential	56%
71%	Potential in defense	71%
100%	Strength against each other	100%
75%	Goal Potential	75%

Summary: the probability of ES Zarzis winning – 10%, draw – 45%, loss – 45%. Thus Réal Bamako, most likely, win (win or draw)

Goal Forecast:Réal Bamako, is likely to score -2.5 goals, ES Zarzis is likely to score no more than -2.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
0	0	0

Save the date

The match between the teams Réal Bamako and ES Zarzis will take place on October 24 at 16:00 (GMT) at the stadium .