Negelle Arsi v Hadiya Hosaena: Stuttering sides target crucial points in Ethiopian Premier League clash

Nuhu Adams April 16, 2026

Negelle Arsi host Hadiya Hosaena on 18 April at 13:00 (GMT) with both clubs under pressure to halt poor runs of form in the Ethiopian Premier League.

Negelle Arsi come into the match on a five‑game winless streak, with recent results reading DLLDD. Hadiya Hosaena’s form is similarly fragile, with LDDLD in their last five outings. Both sides have struggled to build momentum, turning the fixture into an important opportunity to stabilise their league campaigns.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

Assists: (Negelle Arsi) — 0 assists, (Hadiya Hosaena) — 0 assists.
Goalkeepers saves: (Negelle Arsi) — 0, (Hadiya Hosaena) — 0
Tackles: None (Negelle Arsi) — None, None (Hadiya Hosaena) — None.
Most encounters won: (Negelle Arsi) — 0, (Hadiya Hosaena) — 0.
Yellow cards: None (Negelle Arsi) — None, None (Hadiya Hosaena) — None.
Red cards: None (Negelle Arsi) — None, None (Hadiya Hosaena) — None.

Top 5 scorers this season:

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Team statistics:

Negelle Arsi’s home record this season shows resilience but also inconsistency. They have registered 11 wins, 10 draws and 6 defeats on their own ground. Their biggest home victory so far has been 2-0, demonstrating an ability to see out controlled, low‑scoring matches when they take the lead. However, their heaviest home defeat, 0-2, highlights vulnerabilities when they concede first and are forced to chase games.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

Negelle Arsi — DLLDD
Hadiya Hosaena — LDDLD

Away from home, Hadiya Hosaena have produced mixed results. They have collected 8 wins, 9 draws and 10 losses on their travels. Their best away result has been a 2-0 success, underlining that they can manage games effectively on the road and secure clean sheets when organised. Their worst away defeat, 2-0, reflects the fine margins they face against teams capable of exploiting defensive lapses.

According to home statistics this season, Negelle Arsi scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	23.08%	10.53%
16-30	11.54%	10.53%
31-45	11.54%	10.53%
46-60	11.54%	15.79%
61-75	11.54%	15.79%
76-90	26.92%	36.84%
91-105	3.85%

Hadiya Hosaena has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	8.33%	24.14%
16-30	12.50%	17.24%
31-45	29.17%	13.79%
46-60	12.50%	13.79%
61-75	12.50%	24.14%
76-90	25.00%	3.45%
91-105		3.45%

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
Teams	Games	H	A	H	A	H	A
Negelle Arsi	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Hadiya Hosaena	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Negelle Arsi		Hadiya Hosaena
55.2%	Winning the game	55.2%
44%	Attack potential	44%
58%	Potential in defense	58%
100%	Strength against each other	100%
67%	Goal Potential	67%

Summary: the probability of Hadiya Hosaena winning – 10%, draw – 45%, loss – 45%. Thus Negelle Arsi, most likely, win (win or draw)

Goal Forecast:Negelle Arsi, is likely to score -1.5 goals, Hadiya Hosaena is likely to score no more than -1.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
0	0	0

Save the date

The match between the teams Negelle Arsi and Hadiya Hosaena will take place on April 18 at 13:00 (GMT) at the stadium .