Negelle Arsi v Fasil Ketema: Defensive Fasil Target Away Points Against Goal-Shy Hosts

Negelle Arsi host Fasil Ketema on 30 April at 12:00 (GMT) in a league meeting shaped by contrasting form and defensive records.

Negelle Arsi arrive with a five-match winless run in the league, recording DLLDD in their last five fixtures. The sequence underlines ongoing problems in turning draws into victories and converting chances into goals. The side has also played 12 matches this season without scoring, a statistic that puts pressure on the attack ahead of facing one of the division’s most disciplined defences.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: (Negelle Arsi) — 0 assists, (Fasil Ketema) — 0 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: (Negelle Arsi) — 0, (Fasil Ketema) — 0
• Tackles: None (Negelle Arsi) — None, None (Fasil Ketema) — None.
• Most encounters won: (Negelle Arsi) — 0, (Fasil Ketema) — 0.
• Yellow cards: None (Negelle Arsi) — None, None (Fasil Ketema) — None.
• Red cards: None (Negelle Arsi) — None, None (Fasil Ketema) — None.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. (0, )
2. (0, )
3. (0, )
4. (0, )
5. (0, )

Team statistics:

Fasil Ketema travel in far stronger form, with a last-five run of DWWWD. That record places them among the most consistent sides in the league’s recent rounds and has solidified their position in the upper part of the table. Their recent sequence shows an ability to edge tight games and protect narrow leads, a pattern that could be decisive away from home.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Negelle Arsi — DLLDD
• Fasil Ketema — DWWWD

Negelle Arsi’s home campaign has been steady but short of dominance. They have registered 11 wins, 11 draws and six defeats on their own ground this season. The numbers highlight resilience but also suggest a tendency to drop points in matches where they might have expected victory. Their biggest home win of the season is 2-0, while their heaviest home defeat is 0-2, underlining that matches at their ground are often tight and low-scoring.

According to home statistics this season, Negelle Arsi scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Fasil Ketema has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Head-to-head stats:

Probabilities before the match:

Summary: the probability of Fasil Ketema winning – 45%, draw – 45%, loss – 10%. Thus Negelle Arsi, most likely, loss (loss or draw)

Goal Forecast:Negelle Arsi, is likely to score -1.5 goals, Fasil Ketema is likely to score no more than -1.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Save the date

The match between the teams Negelle Arsi and Fasil Ketema will take place on April 30 at 12:00 (GMT) at the stadium .