Negelle Arsi v Ethiopian Medhin: Form and defensive records in focus ahead of league meeting

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Negelle Arsi host Ethiopian Medhin on 9 April at 10:00 (GMT) in a league fixture shaped by contrasting recent form and differing defensive records, with both sides looking to improve their positions in the table as the season moves towards its decisive phase.

Negelle Arsi come into the match on a five-game winless run, with form reading DLLDD. The sequence highlights a side difficult to beat yet unable to turn tight games into victories. Draws have become a recurring theme, and the lack of cutting edge in the final third has stalled their climb up the league.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

  • Assists: (Negelle Arsi) — 0 assists, (Ethiopian Medhin) — 0 assists.
  • Goalkeepers saves: (Negelle Arsi) — 0, (Ethiopian Medhin) — 0
  • Tackles: None (Negelle Arsi) — None, None (Ethiopian Medhin) — None.
  • Most encounters won: (Negelle Arsi) — 0, (Ethiopian Medhin) — 0.
  • Yellow cards: None (Negelle Arsi) — None, None (Ethiopian Medhin) — None.
  • Red cards: None (Negelle Arsi) — None, None (Ethiopian Medhin) — None.

Top 5 scorers this season:

  1. (0, )
  2. (0, )
  3. (0, )
  4. (0, )
  5. (0, )

Team statistics:

Ethiopian Medhin arrive with a stronger recent record of DWDLW across their last five matches. That pattern underlines inconsistency, but also shows an ability to respond after setbacks, picking up important points and wins to keep themselves competitive in the league standings.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

  • Negelle Arsi — DLLDD
  • Ethiopian Medhin — DWDLW

The league context gives additional weight to this fixture. Negelle Arsi’s overall campaign has been defined by narrow margins, solid spells of home form and repeated issues in attack. Ethiopian Medhin, by contrast, have built their season on a more reliable defensive base and a capacity to manage tight scorelines, especially away from home.

According to home statistics this season, Negelle Arsi scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals Goal Scored, % Goals conceded, %
0-15 25.00% 11.76%
16-30 8.33% 11.76%
31-45 12.50% 11.76%
46-60 8.33% 17.65%
61-75 12.50% 11.76%
76-90 29.17% 35.29%
91-105 4.17%

Ethiopian Medhin has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals Goal Scored, % Goals conceded, %
0-15 23.53% 5.00%
16-30 35.29% 25.00%
31-45 17.65% 10.00%
46-60 11.76% 20.00%
61-75 11.76% 15.00%
76-90 25.00%
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams Games Win Draws Losses
H A H A H A
Negelle Arsi 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ethiopian Medhin 0 0 0 0 0 0

Probabilities before the match:

Negelle Arsi Ethiopian Medhin
39.0% Winning the game 39.0%
22% Attack potential 22%
43% Potential in defense 43%
100% Strength against each other 100%
100% Goal Potential 100%

Summary: the probability of Ethiopian Medhin winning – 30%, draw – 35%, loss – 35%. Thus Negelle Arsi, most likely, win (win or draw)

Goal Forecast:Negelle Arsi, is likely to score -1.5 goals, Ethiopian Medhin is likely to score no more than -2.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win Draw Away win
0 0 0

Save the date

The match between the teams Negelle Arsi and Ethiopian Medhin will take place on April 09 at 10:00 (GMT) at the stadium .

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