Negelle Arsi v Dire Dawa Kenema: Relegation fears sharpen as struggling sides meet in Ethiopian Premier League

Negelle Arsi host Dire Dawa Kenema on 11 May at 13:00 GMT in a crucial Ethiopian Premier League fixture between two out‑of‑form sides fighting to steer clear of the drop zone.

Negelle Arsi come into the match winless in five league outings, with a sequence of DLLDD underlining their recent struggles. Dire Dawa Kenema have been similarly inconsistent, taking two wins and three defeats in their last five, with a pattern of LWLWD that leaves them looking over their shoulders.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: (Negelle Arsi) — 0 assists, (Dire Dawa Kenema) — 0 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: (Negelle Arsi) — 0, (Dire Dawa Kenema) — 0
• Tackles: None (Negelle Arsi) — None, None (Dire Dawa Kenema) — None.
• Most encounters won: (Negelle Arsi) — 0, (Dire Dawa Kenema) — 0.
• Yellow cards: None (Negelle Arsi) — None, None (Dire Dawa Kenema) — None.
• Red cards: None (Negelle Arsi) — None, None (Dire Dawa Kenema) — None.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. (0, )
2. (0, )
3. (0, )
4. (0, )
5. (0, )

Team statistics:

League positioning and survival prospects will frame this encounter. Negelle Arsi’s inability to turn draws into wins has dragged them towards the lower reaches of the table despite a relatively solid home record across the campaign. Dire Dawa Kenema, while more capable of snatching victories, have been undermined by defensive lapses that keep them in a congested bottom half.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Negelle Arsi — DLLDD
• Dire Dawa Kenema — LWLWD

Negelle Arsi’s season at home has been defined by stubbornness rather than cutting edge. They have registered 12 home wins, 12 draws and 6 defeats, a profile that suggests a side hard to beat but also prone to dropping points from promising positions. Their biggest win in front of their own supporters, a 2-0 success, showed what they can achieve when they control territory and tempo. However, the heaviest home loss, 0-2, exposed an inability to chase matches once they fall behind.

According to home statistics this season, Negelle Arsi scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Dire Dawa Kenema has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Head-to-head stats:

Probabilities before the match:

Summary: the probability of Dire Dawa Kenema winning – 10%, draw – 45%, loss – 45%. Thus Negelle Arsi, most likely, win (win or draw)

Goal Forecast:Negelle Arsi, is likely to score -2.5 goals, Dire Dawa Kenema is likely to score no more than -1.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Save the date

The match between the teams Negelle Arsi and Dire Dawa Kenema will take place on May 11 at 13:00 (GMT) at the stadium .