Mebrat Hayl v Dire Dawa Kenema: Form, defence and away record under scrutiny in league clash preview
Mebrat Hayl face Dire Dawa Kenema on 20 May at 15:00 (GMT) in a league fixture that brings together one of the division’s most consistent recent performers with one of its most unpredictable travellers.
Mebrat Hayl arrive in strong form, with a five-match unbeaten run reading WDWWD, a sequence that has quietly pushed them up the table and stabilised their season. Dire Dawa Kenema come into the match on the back of an inconsistent run of LWLWD, a pattern that underlines why they remain stuck in mid-to-lower reaches of the standings despite flashes of quality.
The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:
- Assists: (Mebrat Hayl) — 0 assists, (Dire Dawa Kenema) — 0 assists.
- Goalkeepers saves: (Mebrat Hayl) — 0, (Dire Dawa Kenema) — 0
- Tackles: None (Mebrat Hayl) — None, None (Dire Dawa Kenema) — None.
- Most encounters won: (Mebrat Hayl) — 0, (Dire Dawa Kenema) — 0.
- Yellow cards: None (Mebrat Hayl) — None, None (Dire Dawa Kenema) — None.
- Red cards: None (Mebrat Hayl) — None, None (Dire Dawa Kenema) — None.
Top 5 scorers this season:
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Team statistics:
Home form has been the foundation of Mebrat Hayl’s campaign. They have collected 11 wins, 12 draws and 9 losses on their own ground, a record that places them among the division’s sturdier home sides. Their biggest home win, 3-1, highlighted their ability to open teams up when they enjoy territorial dominance, while the heaviest home defeat, 0-1, showed that even when they lose they are rarely overwhelmed.
The five previous matches played by the teams:
- Mebrat Hayl — WDWWD
- Dire Dawa Kenema — LWLWD
Away from home, Dire Dawa Kenema’s numbers underline their fragility. Six wins, 13 draws and 12 defeats on the road tell the story of a team that often competes but struggles to turn tight contests into three points. Their best away result, a 2-1 victory, showed they can counter and exploit space, but their heaviest away loss, 4-0, exposed a defence that can unravel when the pressure builds.
According to home statistics this season, Mebrat Hayl scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 18.52% | 18.18% |
| 16-30 | 11.11% | 9.09% |
| 31-45 | 11.11% | 18.18% |
| 46-60 | 33.33% | 18.18% |
| 61-75 | 7.41% | 27.27% |
| 76-90 | 18.52% | 9.09% |
| 91-105 |
Dire Dawa Kenema has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 11.11% | 14.71% |
| 16-30 | 11.11% | 8.82% |
| 31-45 | 22.22% | 20.59% |
| 46-60 | 5.56% | 17.65% |
| 61-75 | 27.78% | 20.59% |
| 76-90 | 22.22% | 17.65% |
| 91-105 |
Head-to-head stats:
| Teams | Games | Win | Draws | Losses | |||
| H | A | H | A | H | A | ||
| Mebrat Hayl | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Dire Dawa Kenema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Probabilities before the match:
| Mebrat Hayl | Dire Dawa Kenema | |
| 61.0% | Winning the game | 61.0% |
| 83% | Attack potential | 83% |
| 57% | Potential in defense | 57% |
| 38% | Strength against each other | 38% |
| 43% | Goal Potential | 43% |
Summary: the probability of Dire Dawa Kenema winning – 10%, draw – 45%, loss – 45%. Thus Mebrat Hayl, most likely, win (win or draw)
Goal Forecast:Mebrat Hayl, is likely to score -2.5 goals, Dire Dawa Kenema is likely to score no more than -1.5.
The bookmaker odds for this match:
| Home win | Draw | Away win |
| 0 | 0 | 0 |
Save the date
The match between the teams Mebrat Hayl and Dire Dawa Kenema will take place on May 20 at 15:00 (GMT) at the stadium .
