Germany v Paraguay: Havertz leads hosts into high‑stakes June showdown

Germany face Paraguay on 29 June at 20:30 (GMT) in a pivotal international fixture framed by contrasting recent form, sharp attacking threats and an evolving tactical identity on both sides.

Kai Havertz carries Germany’s main goal threat into this match after scoring 2 goals this season for the national side, while Mauricio has been Paraguay’s key finisher with 1 goal to his name. Both managers are expected to build their attacking plans around those two, with Havertz drifting between the lines for Germany and Mauricio operating as the reference point for Paraguay.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: Joshua Kimmich (Germany) — 2 assists, Julio Enciso (Paraguay) — 1 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: Manuel Neuer (Germany) — 1, Orlando Gill (Paraguay) — 3
• Tackles: None (Germany) — None, None (Paraguay) — None.
• Most encounters won: Nico Schlotterbeck (Germany) — 9, Juan Cáceres (Paraguay) — 10.
• Yellow cards: None (Germany) — None, None (Paraguay) — None.
• Red cards: None (Germany) — None, None (Paraguay) — None.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. L. Messi (5, Argentina)
2. Kylian Mbappé (4, France)
3. O. Dembélé (4, France)
4. Vinícius Júnior (4, Brazil)
5. E. Haaland (4, Norway)

Team statistics:

Germany approach the contest with momentum from their last five games, posting a sequence of WWL. That run underlines a team capable of chaining wins together but still prone to occasional lapses. Paraguay’s recent form shows LWD, pointing to inconsistency and a struggle to string together positive results, especially against higher‑ranked opponents.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Germany — WWL
• Paraguay — LWD

Home advantage favours Germany. This season at home they have recorded 2 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, a record that highlights both their attacking dominance and a slight vulnerability when pressed high. Their biggest home victory came with a 7-1 scoreline, underlining their capacity to overwhelm visitors once they find rhythm in the final third. Their heaviest home defeat stands at 0, indicating they have rarely been outclassed on their own pitch in this campaign.

According to home statistics this season, Germany scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	20.00%	25.00%
16-30	20.00%	50.00%
31-45	10.00%	25.00%
46-60	20.00%
61-75	30.00%
76-90
91-105

Paraguay has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	66.67%	66.67%
16-30	33.33%	33.33%
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Germany	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Paraguay		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Germany		Paraguay
69.5%	Winning the game	69.5%
83%	Attack potential	83%
50%	Potential in defense	50%
0%	Strength against each other	0%
0%	Goal Potential	0%

Summary: the probability of Paraguay winning – 10%, draw – 45%, loss – 45%. Thus Germany, most likely, win (win or draw)

Goal Forecast:Germany, is likely to score -5.5 goals, Paraguay is likely to score no more than -1.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
0	0	0

Save the date

The match between the teams Germany and Paraguay will take place on June 29 at 20:30 (GMT) at the stadium .