Fasil Ketema v Adama Kenema: Tight Ethiopian Premier League clash expected as form teams meet in Gondar
Fasil Ketema face Adama Kenema on 16 May at 15:00 (GMT) in a finely balanced Ethiopian Premier League fixture between two sides in strong recent form and with contrasting home and away records.
Fasil Ketema come into the match unbeaten in five league outings, with a sequence of DWWWD underlining steady momentum in the run-in. Adama Kenema also arrive on an upward curve, posting DDDWW in their last five, suggesting increased resilience followed by a timely burst of victories.
The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:
- Assists: (Fasil Ketema) — 0 assists, (Adama Kenema) — 0 assists.
- Goalkeepers saves: (Fasil Ketema) — 0, (Adama Kenema) — 0
- Tackles: None (Fasil Ketema) — None, None (Adama Kenema) — None.
- Most encounters won: (Fasil Ketema) — 0, (Adama Kenema) — 0.
- Yellow cards: None (Fasil Ketema) — None, None (Adama Kenema) — None.
- Red cards: None (Fasil Ketema) — None, None (Adama Kenema) — None.
Top 5 scorers this season:
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Team statistics:
Fasil Ketema’s home campaign has been defined by stubbornness rather than dominance. Their record of 10 wins, 13 draws and 8 losses at home shows a side difficult to beat but sometimes short of cutting edge. The biggest home win this season was 1-0, while their heaviest home defeat was 0-3, illustrating that when they are breached, they can be vulnerable to a decisive scoreline.
The five previous matches played by the teams:
- Fasil Ketema — DWWWD
- Adama Kenema — DDDWW
Adama Kenema’s away form has been mixed but competitive. They have 8 wins, 14 draws and 9 losses on the road, marking them out as one of the division’s more awkward travellers. Their biggest away victory came by a 2-3 scoreline, while their heaviest away defeat was 3-2, pointing to open, attacking games when they leave home.
According to home statistics this season, Fasil Ketema scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 10.00% | 4.35% |
| 16-30 | 10.00% | 8.70% |
| 31-45 | 20.00% | 34.78% |
| 46-60 | 15.00% | 21.74% |
| 61-75 | 20.00% | 30.43% |
| 76-90 | 20.00% | |
| 91-105 | 5.00% |
Adama Kenema has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 13.79% | 6.67% |
| 16-30 | 20.69% | 30.00% |
| 31-45 | 6.90% | 13.33% |
| 46-60 | 13.79% | 10.00% |
| 61-75 | 17.24% | 20.00% |
| 76-90 | 27.59% | 20.00% |
| 91-105 |
Head-to-head stats:
| Teams | Games | Win | Draws | Losses | |||
| H | A | H | A | H | A | ||
| Fasil Ketema | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Adama Kenema | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
Probabilities before the match:
| Fasil Ketema | Adama Kenema | |
| 40.5% | Winning the game | 40.5% |
| 29% | Attack potential | 29% |
| 27% | Potential in defense | 27% |
| 50% | Strength against each other | 50% |
| 50% | Goal Potential | 50% |
Summary: the probability of Adama Kenema winning – 45%, draw – 45%, loss – 10%. Thus Fasil Ketema, most likely, loss (loss or draw)
Goal Forecast:Fasil Ketema, is likely to score -1.5 goals, Adama Kenema is likely to score no more than -1.5.
The bookmaker odds for this match:
| Home win | Draw | Away win |
| 0 | 0 | 0 |
Save the date
The match between the teams Fasil Ketema and Adama Kenema will take place on May 16 at 15:00 (GMT) at the stadium .
