Bahardar v Welwalo Adigrat Uni: Relegation-threatened visitors seek upset in Ethiopian Premier League clash

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Bahardar host Welwalo Adigrat Uni on 10 May at 12:00 (GMT) in an Ethiopian Premier League fixture that pairs one of the division’s most durable home sides with a struggling team fighting to pull away from the lower reaches of the table.

Bahardar enter the match on the back of a mixed run, with their last five league games reading WDDDL. That sequence underlines a problem turning draws into wins but also points to a team that has generally remained competitive. Welwalo Adigrat Uni arrive in significantly worse shape, with a form line of LLDLL that highlights a slide in confidence and consistency at a key stage of the season.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

  • Assists: (Bahardar) — 0 assists, (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — 0 assists.
  • Goalkeepers saves: (Bahardar) — 0, (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — 0
  • Tackles: None (Bahardar) — None, None (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — None.
  • Most encounters won: (Bahardar) — 0, (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — 0.
  • Yellow cards: None (Bahardar) — None, None (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — None.
  • Red cards: None (Bahardar) — None, None (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — None.

Top 5 scorers this season:

  1. (0, )
  2. (0, )
  3. (0, )
  4. (0, )
  5. (0, )

Team statistics:

Bahardar’s home record provides the foundation for their status in mid-table security rather than a relegation scrap. They have registered 8 wins, 16 draws and 6 defeats on their own ground this season, a profile that makes them one of the most difficult sides to beat at home, even if they often lack the cutting edge to put matches to bed. Their biggest home victory, a 3-1 success, showcased their ability to control games and score in bursts when momentum swings their way.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

  • Bahardar — WDDDL
  • Welwalo Adigrat Uni — LLDLL

Away from home, Welwalo Adigrat Uni have been far less assured. They have managed 8 wins, 11 draws and 11 defeats on their travels, numbers that tell the story of a team capable of the occasional strong result but undermined by inconsistency. Their best away performance, a 2-4 victory, underlined their potential on the counter-attack and in transition, but those displays have been too rare to lift them into mid-table comfort.

According to home statistics this season, Bahardar scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals Goal Scored, % Goals conceded, %
0-15 4.35% 9.09%
16-30 4.35% 22.73%
31-45 17.39% 22.73%
46-60 30.43% 9.09%
61-75 21.74% 22.73%
76-90 21.74% 13.64%
91-105

Welwalo Adigrat Uni has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals Goal Scored, % Goals conceded, %
0-15 10.71% 25.00%
16-30 14.29% 9.38%
31-45 21.43% 12.50%
46-60 7.14% 12.50%
61-75 17.86% 28.13%
76-90 25.00% 12.50%
91-105 3.57%

Head-to-head stats:

Teams Games Win Draws Losses
H A H A H A
Bahardar 2 1 0 0 1 0 0
Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0 0 1 0 0 1

Probabilities before the match:

Bahardar Welwalo Adigrat Uni
61.7% Winning the game 61.7%
43% Attack potential 43%
58% Potential in defense 58%
85% Strength against each other 85%
78% Goal Potential 78%

Summary: the probability of Welwalo Adigrat Uni winning – 10%, draw – 45%, loss – 45%. Thus Bahardar, most likely, win (win or draw)

Goal Forecast:Bahardar, is likely to score -2.5 goals, Welwalo Adigrat Uni is likely to score no more than -2.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win Draw Away win
0 0 0

Save the date

The match between the teams Bahardar and Welwalo Adigrat Uni will take place on May 10 at 12:00 (GMT) at the stadium .

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