Bahardar v Mekelakeya: Form, defence and fine margins set to decide key league clash
Bahardar face Mekelakeya on 19 May at 13:00 (GMT) in a league fixture shaped by contrasting runs of form, tight defensive records and significant implications for their positions in the table.
Bahardar enter the match after a five-game sequence of WDDDL, a run that underlines their struggle to turn control into consistent victories. Mekelakeya arrive in stronger shape with WWWDD from their last five fixtures, signalling momentum and resilience at a key stage of the league campaign.
The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:
- Assists: (Bahardar) — 0 assists, (Mekelakeya) — 0 assists.
- Goalkeepers saves: (Bahardar) — 0, (Mekelakeya) — 0
- Tackles: None (Bahardar) — None, None (Mekelakeya) — None.
- Most encounters won: (Bahardar) — 0, (Mekelakeya) — 0.
- Yellow cards: None (Bahardar) — None, None (Mekelakeya) — None.
- Red cards: None (Bahardar) — None, None (Mekelakeya) — None.
Top 5 scorers this season:
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Team statistics:
Bahardar’s home record offers a mixed picture. They have recorded their biggest home win of the season at 3-1, showing they can score and manage a game when on top in front of their own fans. However, their heaviest home defeat, 1-3, exposes familiar defensive gaps when opponents press high and attack directly. Over the season at home they have posted 9 wins, 17 draws and 6 losses, suggesting solidity but also an inability to convert tight games into three points.
The five previous matches played by the teams:
- Bahardar — WDDDL
- Mekelakeya — WWWDD
Mekelakeya’s away numbers are stronger and more balanced. They have claimed 12 away wins, 13 draws and 6 defeats across the campaign, a record that highlights their consistency on the road. Their biggest away victory, 1-3, confirms their capability to manage away contests through counter-attacking and efficient finishing. Their worst away result, a 2-0 loss, underlines that they can be contained when opponents deny them space in transition.
According to home statistics this season, Bahardar scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 4.00% | 9.09% |
| 16-30 | 4.00% | 22.73% |
| 31-45 | 16.00% | 22.73% |
| 46-60 | 36.00% | 9.09% |
| 61-75 | 20.00% | 22.73% |
| 76-90 | 20.00% | 13.64% |
| 91-105 |
Mekelakeya has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 14.29% | 9.09% |
| 16-30 | 14.29% | 18.18% |
| 31-45 | 28.57% | 18.18% |
| 46-60 | 8.57% | 22.73% |
| 61-75 | 14.29% | 13.64% |
| 76-90 | 20.00% | 18.18% |
| 91-105 |
Head-to-head stats:
| Teams | Games | Win | Draws | Losses | |||
| H | A | H | A | H | A | ||
| Bahardar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Mekelakeya | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Probabilities before the match:
| Bahardar | Mekelakeya | |
| 50.8% | Winning the game | 50.8% |
| 45% | Attack potential | 45% |
| 25% | Potential in defense | 25% |
| 85% | Strength against each other | 85% |
| 67% | Goal Potential | 67% |
Summary: the probability of Mekelakeya winning – 30%, draw – 35%, loss – 35%. Thus Bahardar, most likely, win (win or draw)
Goal Forecast:Bahardar, is likely to score -1.5 goals, Mekelakeya is likely to score no more than -2.5.
The bookmaker odds for this match:
| Home win | Draw | Away win |
| 0 | 0 | 0 |
Save the date
The match between the teams Bahardar and Mekelakeya will take place on May 19 at 13:00 (GMT) at the stadium .
