Awassa Kenema v Arba Minch Kenema: Form, stakes and stats ahead of crucial Ethiopian Premier League clash

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Awassa Kenema v Arba Minch Kenema: Form, stakes and stats ahead of crucial Ethiopian Premier League clash

Awassa Kenema host Arba Minch Kenema on 16 May at 12:00 (GMT) in an Ethiopian Premier League fixture shaped by contrasting form, fragile defences and inconsistent attacks.

Awassa come into the match with momentum, having recorded WLWDW across their last five games. That run underlines a side capable of responding quickly to setbacks and grinding out results both home and away. Arba Minch arrive in Awassa with a sequence of DDLLD, a pattern that highlights their struggle to turn tight contests into victories and a tendency to drop points late in matches.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

  • Assists: (Awassa Kenema) — 0 assists, (Arba Minch Kenema) — 0 assists.
  • Goalkeepers saves: (Awassa Kenema) — 0, (Arba Minch Kenema) — 0
  • Tackles: None (Awassa Kenema) — None, None (Arba Minch Kenema) — None.
  • Most encounters won: (Awassa Kenema) — 0, (Arba Minch Kenema) — 0.
  • Yellow cards: None (Awassa Kenema) — None, None (Arba Minch Kenema) — None.
  • Red cards: None (Awassa Kenema) — None, None (Arba Minch Kenema) — None.

Top 5 scorers this season:

  1. (0, )
  2. (0, )
  3. (0, )
  4. (0, )
  5. (0, )

Team statistics:

Awassa Kenema’s home record this season shows steady but unspectacular resilience. They have played at home with 10 wins, 11 draws and 9 defeats, offering both encouragement and concern to supporters. The team’s biggest home win has been 2-0, a scoreline that points to control without heavy dominance. Their heaviest home defeat, 1-2, suggests they rarely collapse on their own ground but often face narrow margins that can go either way.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

  • Awassa Kenema — WLWDW
  • Arba Minch Kenema — DDLLD

Awassa’s away numbers reinforce the picture of a side that has rarely been blown apart. Their biggest away victory has been 0-2 and their worst away loss 4-2. Conceding four on the road exposes defensive vulnerability when the game becomes stretched, but the ability to score twice away shows they are a threat on transitions. Across the campaign, Awassa have failed to score in 11 matches, a statistic that underscores the pressure on their attacking players to be more clinical in decisive fixtures such as this.

According to home statistics this season, Awassa Kenema scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals Goal Scored, % Goals conceded, %
0-15 17.24% 16.00%
16-30 13.79% 12.00%
31-45 13.79% 28.00%
46-60 20.69% 12.00%
61-75 20.69% 8.00%
76-90 13.79% 24.00%
91-105

Arba Minch Kenema has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals Goal Scored, % Goals conceded, %
0-15 12.50% 23.68%
16-30 16.67% 15.79%
31-45 16.67% 15.79%
46-60 16.67% 15.79%
61-75 12.50% 10.53%
76-90 25.00% 18.42%
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams Games Win Draws Losses
H A H A H A
Awassa Kenema 2 1 0 0 0 0 1
Arba Minch Kenema 1 0 0 0 0 1

Probabilities before the match:

Awassa Kenema Arba Minch Kenema
45.0% Winning the game 45.0%
22% Attack potential 22%
60% Potential in defense 60%
50% Strength against each other 50%
50% Goal Potential 50%

Summary: the probability of Arba Minch Kenema winning – 45%, draw – 45%, loss – 10%. Thus Awassa Kenema, most likely, loss (loss or draw)

Goal Forecast:Awassa Kenema, is likely to score -1.5 goals, Arba Minch Kenema is likely to score no more than -2.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win Draw Away win
0 0 0

Save the date

The match between the teams Awassa Kenema and Arba Minch Kenema will take place on May 16 at 12:00 (GMT) at the stadium .

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