Adama Kenema v Negelle Arsi: Form, stakes and stats ahead of key league meeting

Nuhu Adams April 03, 2026

Adama Kenema face Negelle Arsi on 5 April at 12:00 GMT in a league fixture shaped by contrasting form runs, tight margins and defensive trends that could define the outcome.

Adama Kenema arrive on the back of a five-match unbeaten run, with a sequence of DDDWW underlining a recent upturn in resilience and results. Negelle Arsi travel after DLLDD in their last five matches, a pattern that points to inconsistency and difficulty turning draws into wins.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

Assists: (Adama Kenema) — 0 assists, (Negelle Arsi) — 0 assists.
Goalkeepers saves: (Adama Kenema) — 0, (Negelle Arsi) — 0
Tackles: None (Adama Kenema) — None, None (Negelle Arsi) — None.
Most encounters won: (Adama Kenema) — 0, (Negelle Arsi) — 0.
Yellow cards: None (Adama Kenema) — None, None (Negelle Arsi) — None.
Red cards: None (Adama Kenema) — None, None (Negelle Arsi) — None.

Top 5 scorers this season:

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Team statistics:

League context places added weight on this encounter. Adama Kenema’s home record of 7 wins, 12 draws and 5 defeats suggests a team that is hard to beat on their own ground, though often frustrated by stalemates. Negelle Arsi’s away figures – 10 wins, 8 draws and 6 losses – show they are comfortable on the road, capable of imposing themselves and collecting points in difficult venues.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

Adama Kenema — DDDWW
Negelle Arsi — DLLDD

Goal-scoring has been a central issue for Adama Kenema across the campaign. They have failed to score in 12 matches this season, a statistic that emphasises why tight games and low-scoring draws have been common. When they do break through, results tend to follow, as reflected by their recent two victories that closed out the DDDWW stretch.

According to home statistics this season, Adama Kenema scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	13.64%	8.70%
16-30	18.18%	34.78%
31-45	4.55%	13.04%
46-60	13.64%	8.70%
61-75	18.18%	17.39%
76-90	31.82%	17.39%
91-105

Negelle Arsi has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	27.27%	12.50%
16-30	9.09%	12.50%
31-45	13.64%	12.50%
46-60	4.55%	18.75%
61-75	13.64%	12.50%
76-90	31.82%	31.25%
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
Teams	Games	H	A	H	A	H	A
Adama Kenema	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Negelle Arsi	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Adama Kenema		Negelle Arsi
49.4%	Winning the game	49.4%
88%	Attack potential	88%
31%	Potential in defense	31%
0%	Strength against each other	0%
33%	Goal Potential	33%

Summary: the probability of Negelle Arsi winning – 45%, draw – 45%, loss – 10%. Thus Adama Kenema, most likely, loss (loss or draw)

Goal Forecast:Adama Kenema, is likely to score -1.5 goals, Negelle Arsi is likely to score no more than -1.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
0	0	0

Save the date

The match between the teams Adama Kenema and Negelle Arsi will take place on April 05 at 12:00 (GMT) at the stadium .