Al Ahli Tripoli vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: Home record gives hosts early advantage

Al Ahli Tripoli face Welwalo Adigrat Uni on 24 October at 17:00 GMT, with the hosts looking to build on a perfect home record and the visitors aiming to improve their away form.

Al Ahli Tripoli have won all three of their home matches this season, while Welwalo Adigrat Uni have recorded one win and suffered two defeats away from home. That contrast makes the Libyan side the stronger candidate to control the match, particularly if they can impose the same structure that has produced three home victories.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: (Al Ahli Tripoli) — 0 assists, (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — 0 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: (Al Ahli Tripoli) — 0, (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — 0
• Tackles: (Al Ahli Tripoli) — 0, (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — 0.
• Most encounters won: (Al Ahli Tripoli) — 0, (Welwalo Adigrat Uni) — 0.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. (0)
2. (0)
3. (0)
4. (0)
5. (0)

Team statistics:

The scoring figures for both teams currently stand at zero goals this season, making the opening stages of the match especially important. Neither side has an established scoring advantage in the available season record, so the first goal could have a major influence on the result.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Al Ahli Tripoli — WWW
• Welwalo Adigrat Uni — LWL

Al Ahli Tripoli’s recent form is listed as three wins from their last five matches, while Welwalo Adigrat Uni’s corresponding sequence is one win and two defeats. The hosts therefore arrive with the more positive momentum, although the match will still require patience if both teams begin cautiously.

According to home statistics this season, Al Ahli Tripoli scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	100.00%
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

Welwalo Adigrat Uni has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	100.00%	50.00%
16-30		50.00%
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Al Ahli Tripoli	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Welwalo Adigrat Uni		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Al Ahli Tripoli		Welwalo Adigrat Uni
74.0%	Winning the game	74.0%
73%	Attack potential	73%
100%	Potential in defense	100%
100%	Strength against each other	100%
100%	Goal Potential	100%

Summary: the probability of Welwalo Adigrat Uni winning – 0, draw – 50%, loss – 50%. Thus Al Ahli Tripoli, most likely, win (win or draw)

Goal Forecast:Al Ahli Tripoli, is likely to score -6.5 goals, Welwalo Adigrat Uni is likely to score no more than -2.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
0	0	0

Save the date

The match between the teams Al Ahli Tripoli and Welwalo Adigrat Uni will take place on October 24 at 17:00 (GMT) at the stadium Tripoli International Stadium.