Ethiopian Medhin v Bahardar: Defensive Bahardar face inconsistent hosts in Ethiopian Premier League clash

Nuhu Adams April 13, 2026

Ethiopian Medhin host Bahardar on 15 April at 12:00 (GMT) in an Ethiopian Premier League fixture that could influence positions across the middle of the league table and the race for higher finishes.

Ethiopian Medhin approach the home match with mixed form, having recorded DWDLW in their last five league games. That sequence shows inconsistency but also resilience, with the side capable of recovering quickly from setbacks. Bahardar arrive with WDDDL over their last five, underlining a team that has been hard to beat but has recently slipped with a defeat after a longer unbeaten sequence.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

Assists: (Ethiopian Medhin) — 0 assists, (Bahardar) — 0 assists.
Goalkeepers saves: (Ethiopian Medhin) — 0, (Bahardar) — 0
Tackles: None (Ethiopian Medhin) — None, None (Bahardar) — None.
Most encounters won: (Ethiopian Medhin) — 0, (Bahardar) — 0.
Yellow cards: None (Ethiopian Medhin) — None, None (Bahardar) — None.
Red cards: None (Ethiopian Medhin) — None, None (Bahardar) — None.

Top 5 scorers this season:

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Team statistics:

League context points to a contest shaped by fine margins. Ethiopian Medhin’s home campaign stands at 6 wins, 11 draws and 9 losses, illustrating how often matches at their ground have been tight and low scoring. Bahardar’s away record of 7 wins, 14 draws and 5 defeats confirms a cautious, controlled style on the road, with draws playing a major role in their overall points tally.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

Ethiopian Medhin — DWDLW
Bahardar — WDDDL

Goal statistics across the season frame the tactical picture. Ethiopian Medhin have failed to score in 9 matches, a significant figure that raises questions about attacking consistency, especially against well-organised opponents. Bahardar have kept clean sheets in 15 matches, highlighting a strong defensive structure that has underpinned their progress in the league and made them one of the more reliable back lines in the competition.

According to home statistics this season, Ethiopian Medhin scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	22.22%	4.76%
16-30	33.33%	28.57%
31-45	16.67%	9.52%
46-60	11.11%	19.05%
61-75	16.67%	14.29%
76-90		23.81%
91-105

Bahardar has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	5.26%	11.11%
16-30	5.26%	16.67%
31-45	15.79%	16.67%
46-60	31.58%	11.11%
61-75	21.05%	27.78%
76-90	21.05%	16.67%
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
Teams	Games	H	A	H	A	H	A
Ethiopian Medhin	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Bahardar	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Ethiopian Medhin		Bahardar
48.7%	Winning the game	48.7%
56%	Attack potential	56%
43%	Potential in defense	43%
50%	Strength against each other	50%
50%	Goal Potential	50%

Summary: the probability of Bahardar winning – 33%, draw – 33%, loss – 33%. Thus Ethiopian Medhin, most likely, win (win or draw)

Goal Forecast:Ethiopian Medhin, is likely to score None goals, Bahardar is likely to score no more than None.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
0	0	0

Save the date

The match between the teams Ethiopian Medhin and Bahardar will take place on April 15 at 12:00 (GMT) at the stadium .