Zambia v Burundi: Fashion Sakala leads Zambia’s attack in November meeting

Zambia face Burundi on 11 November at 17:00 GMT, with both sides looking to build momentum from their recent results. Fashion Sakala has scored one goal for Zambia this season, while the corresponding figure for Burundi is zero.

The match is an international fixture rather than a league game, so there is no domestic table, home-and-away league record or points race to assess. The focus will instead be on recent form, attacking efficiency and how both teams respond during the latest stage of their campaigns.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: David Simukonda (Zambia) — 1 assists, (Burundi) — 0 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: Willard Mwanza (Zambia) — 3, (Burundi) — 0
• Tackles: Dominic Chanda (Zambia) — 2, (Burundi) — 0.
• Most encounters won: Miguel Changa Chaiwa (Zambia) — 6, (Burundi) — 0.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. H. Mastouri (4, Tunisia)
2. M. Munetsi (3, Zimbabwe)
3. E. Colley (3, Gambia)
4. Y. Wissa (2, Congo DR)
5. Chamito (2, Mozambique)

Team statistics:

Zambia’s recent form is recorded as L-W, while Burundi’s listed sequence is W-W-L-D. Burundi therefore arrive with a longer run of results and have shown greater consistency across the available form data. Zambia will be hoping to turn their latest performances into a more reliable run, with Sakala expected to be one of the key attacking players.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Zambia — LW
• Burundi — WWLD

The Zambia forward has already scored once this season and brings experience at the highest level to the contest. His movement in the final third could be important against a Burundi side that will want to maintain its recent progress. Zambia may look to Sakala to provide a direct threat, particularly if the game becomes tight and chances are limited.

According to home statistics this season, Zambia scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	50.00%	100.00%
16-30	25.00%
31-45	25.00%
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

Burundi has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	33.33%	25.00%
16-30	11.11%	50.00%
31-45	11.11%	25.00%
46-60	33.33%
61-75	11.11%
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Zambia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Burundi		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Zambia		Burundi
45.8%	Winning the game	45.8%
23%	Attack potential	23%
50%	Potential in defense	50%
80%	Strength against each other	80%
100%	Goal Potential	100%

Summary: the probability of Burundi winning – 10%, draw – 45%, loss – 45%. Thus Zambia, most likely, win (win or draw)

Goal Forecast:Zambia, is likely to score -2.5 goals, Burundi is likely to score no more than -3.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
0	0	0

Save the date

The match between the teams Zambia and Burundi will take place on November 11 at 17:00 (GMT) at the stadium .