USM Alger v Olympique Safi: Form sides collide in high-stakes continental showdown
USM Alger face Olympique Safi on 11 April at 16:00 (GMT) in a pivotal continental tie between two in-form sides carrying strong league momentum and impressive recent records.
USM Alger arrive on the back of four wins in their last five matches (LWWWW), a run that has revived their domestic campaign and stabilised their place in the upper half of the league table. Olympique Safi travel in equally confident mood, with a sequence of WWWLW underlining their rise in the Moroccan league and their resilience away from home.
The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:
- Assists: (USM Alger) — 0 assists, (Olympique Safi) — 0 assists.
- Goalkeepers saves: (USM Alger) — 0, (Olympique Safi) — 0
- Tackles: None (USM Alger) — None, None (Olympique Safi) — None.
- Most encounters won: (USM Alger) — 0, (Olympique Safi) — 0.
- Yellow cards: None (USM Alger) — None, None (Olympique Safi) — None.
- Red cards: None (USM Alger) — None, None (Olympique Safi) — None.
Top 5 scorers this season:
- A. Belhocini (4, CR Belouizdad)
- S. El Moudane (4, Olympique Safi)
- Oday Dabbagh (3, Zamalek SC)
- B. Namboka (3, Maniema Union)
- Salah Mohsen (3, AL Masry)
Team statistics:
USM Alger’s home record this season reads six wins, two draws and two defeats, figures that make their Stade Omar Hamadi base a difficult venue for visiting sides. Their biggest home victory, a 3-0 success, showed their ability to control matches and convert dominance into goals. Away from home they have also produced statement results, including a 3-2 win that demonstrated attacking freedom and the capacity to respond under pressure.
The five previous matches played by the teams:
- USM Alger — LWWWW
- Olympique Safi — WWWLW
Olympique Safi’s away record offers a stern counterweight. Seven wins, three draws and only two defeats on the road indicate a team comfortable in hostile environments and tactically disciplined outside their own stadium. Their best away result, a 2-1 victory, highlights their tendency to edge tight encounters and manage narrow margins effectively.
According to home statistics this season, USM Alger scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 28.57% | 28.57% |
| 16-30 | 21.43% | 28.57% |
| 31-45 | 14.29% | 28.57% |
| 46-60 | 35.71% | 14.29% |
| 61-75 | ||
| 76-90 | ||
| 91-105 |
Olympique Safi has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 17.65% | 10.00% |
| 16-30 | 17.65% | 20.00% |
| 31-45 | 23.53% | 20.00% |
| 46-60 | 11.76% | 50.00% |
| 61-75 | 5.88% | |
| 76-90 | 23.53% | |
| 91-105 |
Head-to-head stats:
| Teams | Games | Win | Draws | Losses | |||
| H | A | H | A | H | A | ||
| USM Alger | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Olympique Safi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Probabilities before the match:
| USM Alger | Olympique Safi | |
| 58.0% | Winning the game | 58.0% |
| 42% | Attack potential | 42% |
| 56% | Potential in defense | 56% |
| 80% | Strength against each other | 80% |
| 100% | Goal Potential | 100% |
Summary: the probability of Olympique Safi winning – 10%, draw – 45%, loss – 45%. Thus USM Alger, most likely, win (win or draw)
Goal Forecast:USM Alger, is likely to score -1.5 goals, Olympique Safi is likely to score no more than -1.5.
The bookmaker odds for this match:
| Home win | Draw | Away win |
| 0 | 0 | 0 |
Save the date
The match between the teams USM Alger and Olympique Safi will take place on April 11 at 16:00 (GMT) at the stadium Stade du 5 Juillet.
