The Springboks’ defensive system remains fundamentally sound despite concerns about opponents breaking around their outside channels, according to an analysis of their second Test against New Zealand in the Greatest Rivalry Series.
South Africa responded strongly in the second match, and the result was not entirely unexpected. Even in the opening Test, the Springboks had shown enough superiority in key areas to suggest a victory was close, while the number of penalties New Zealand conceded in their own half at Ellis Park was a clear warning sign.
However, questions have been raised about whether South Africa’s defence is operating at its usual level. New Zealand possess one of the most dangerous attacking teams in world rugby, but there had also been indications earlier in the year that the Springboks were not as cohesive defensively as they have been.
Several factors contributed to that. Experimental teams used during July lacked some of the organisation and clarity required at international level, while a number of players appeared to struggle with the speed and intensity of Test rugby.
The wider changes to the game must also be considered. World Rugby’s lower-tackle mandate has made it harder for defenders to dominate contact, allowing attacking teams more gainline success, more opportunities to offload and greater time and space to build their patterns.
Defensive teams have responded with more double tackles, although that can create numerical problems in other areas. The 50:22 law has introduced extra uncertainty in the frontline defence, forcing players to decide whether to advance or hold their position. At the breakdown, stricter treatment of defenders who collapse or “flop” has helped accelerate possession, while the defending number nine’s new offside line at scrums gives attacking teams more room to launch set plays.
Modern attacking structures and the improved skill levels of players have also changed the standard by which defensive performances should be judged.
It can look particularly alarming when the Springboks are beaten around the edge. Green shirts appear to be scrambling across the field as they try to prevent a major opening, and those moments often dominate the post-match discussion. But that impression does not necessarily reflect the whole defensive performance.
A review of every New Zealand attacking set in the second Test in Cape Town found that the All Blacks had 30 such possessions. Each set involved several phases, with multiple passes in many of them. New Zealand scored four times, a return that South Africa can improve on, but the wider figures were encouraging for the Springboks.
South Africa gained a clear reward from 14 of those 30 attacking sets. Those rewards included turnovers, penalties, regaining possession after a poor kick and forcing handling errors. That means 46% of New Zealand’s attacking attempts produced a direct benefit for the Springboks.
The figure reflects South Africa’s aggressive line speed, willingness to intervene and readiness to take risks. Their intention is to advance quickly, pressure the ball-carrier and force the opposition to play under stress. Although the occasional outside break is visually memorable, the repeated forced knock-ons, rushed kicks and losses of ground are equally important.
The Springbok scramble defence is also a planned part of the system rather than simple recovery work. By pressing higher and forcing attacking passes deeper, South Africa aim to give their covering defenders enough time to reach the next point of contact.
New Zealand breached the Springboks’ edge six times from their 30 attacking sets. On only one of those occasions did the All Blacks get beyond the secondary cover, and that passage ended in a try.
The evidence therefore suggests that South Africa’s defensive approach is delivering more benefits than it is costing them. The tries conceded appear to have resulted more from individual errors than from a structural collapse: one came in broken field after a contestable kick, another followed a missed midfield tackle, and a third came at the end of a sustained New Zealand attack on the try-line.
There remains an argument that a demanding system can contribute to mistakes by placing greater pressure on players. But in this match, the priority for the Springboks is likely to be improving tackle technique, communication and clarity of roles.
The defensive system itself, on this evidence, is not the central problem.
