Mozambique vs Ethiopia: Geny Catamo gives hosts attacking edge

Mozambique face Ethiopia on 11 November at 17:00 GMT, with Geny Catamo providing an important attacking threat for the hosts after scoring one goal this season.

Mozambique’s recent form is listed as draw and win, while Ethiopia have recorded two wins followed by two defeats. The contrasting sequences add significance to a fixture in which both sides will be looking to build momentum and produce a more consistent run of results.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: Witi (Mozambique) — 1 assists, (Ethiopia) — 0 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: Ernan (Mozambique) — 4, (Ethiopia) — 0
• Tackles: Bheu (Mozambique) — 2, (Ethiopia) — 0.
• Most encounters won: Geny Catamo (Mozambique) — 11, (Ethiopia) — 0.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. H. Mastouri (4, Tunisia)
2. M. Munetsi (3, Zimbabwe)
3. E. Colley (3, Gambia)
4. Y. Wissa (2, Congo DR)
5. Chamito (2, Mozambique)

Team statistics:

Catamo’s goal involvement gives Mozambique a clear player to watch. The Sporting winger has established himself as one of Mozambique’s most dangerous attacking players, offering pace, direct running and the ability to create opportunities from wide areas. Ethiopia will need to limit his space and prevent him from receiving the ball in advanced positions.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Mozambique — DW
• Ethiopia — WWLL

Mozambique will also be encouraged by their recent results. Their listed sequence of a draw followed by a win suggests an upward trend before the meeting with Ethiopia. A victory in this fixture would strengthen that momentum and give the side another positive result to build on.

According to home statistics this season, Mozambique scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	20.00%	50.00%
16-30	20.00%	50.00%
31-45	40.00%
46-60	20.00%
61-75
76-90
91-105

Ethiopia has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	25.00%	50.00%
16-30	25.00%	50.00%
31-45	25.00%
46-60	25.00%
61-75
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Mozambique	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Ethiopia		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Mozambique		Ethiopia
47.6%	Winning the game	47.6%
56%	Attack potential	56%
50%	Potential in defense	50%
50%	Strength against each other	50%
0%	Goal Potential	0%

Summary: the probability of Ethiopia winning – 45%, draw – 45%, loss – 10%. Thus Mozambique, most likely, loss (loss or draw)

Goal Forecast:Mozambique, is likely to score -2.5 goals, Ethiopia is likely to score no more than -2.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
0	0	0

Save the date

The match between the teams Mozambique and Ethiopia will take place on November 11 at 17:00 (GMT) at the stadium .