Mozambique v Sudan: Catamo’s form gives hosts edge in closely watched September clash

Mozambique face Sudan on 29 September at 13:00 GMT, with Geny Catamo providing a notable attacking threat for the home side. Catamo has scored once for Mozambique this season, while the supplied scoring record for Sudan stands at zero.

The match is expected to be decided by which team can make the stronger start. Mozambique’s recent form is listed as a draw, while Sudan come into the fixture with a win in their latest recorded result. That gives Sudan a slight advantage in momentum, but Mozambique will hope home conditions can help them control the game.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: Witi (Mozambique) — 1 assists, (Sudan) — 0 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: Fernando Data Chamboco (Mozambique) — 0, (Sudan) — 0
• Tackles: Faisal Bangal (Mozambique) — 1, (Sudan) — 0.
• Most encounters won: Geny Catamo (Mozambique) — 11, (Sudan) — 0.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. N. Dorgeles (2, Mali)
2. L. Mickels (1, Rwanda)
3. I. Maza (1, Algeria)
4. M. Diallo (1, Mauritania)
5. A. Hadj-Moussa (1, Algeria)

Team statistics:

Catamo is likely to attract much of the attention. The winger has already found the net once this season and offers Mozambique pace, direct running and the ability to create chances from wide positions. Sudan will need to limit the space available to him, particularly when Mozambique move quickly from midfield into attack.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Mozambique — D
• Sudan — W

Mozambique’s priority will be to turn possession into clear chances. A careful build-up may be important, but the hosts cannot afford to allow Sudan time to settle or organise their defensive shape. Quick passes into the final third and effective movement around the penalty area could give Mozambique the best route to goal.

According to home statistics this season, Mozambique scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	100.00%	100.00%
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

Sudan has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	100.00%
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Mozambique	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Sudan		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Mozambique		Sudan
37.5%	Winning the game	37.5%
50%	Attack potential	50%
0%	Potential in defense	0%
0%	Strength against each other	0%
0%	Goal Potential	0%

Summary: the probability of Sudan winning – 45%, draw – 45%, loss – 10%. Thus Mozambique, most likely, loss (loss or draw)

Goal Forecast:Mozambique, is likely to score -1.5 goals, Sudan is likely to score no more than -1.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
0	0	0

Save the date

The match between the teams Mozambique and Sudan will take place on September 29 at 13:00 (GMT) at the stadium .