Libya vs Tunisia: North African rivals meet with both sides seeking a stronger finish

Libya face Tunisia on 17 November at 16:00 GMT in a fixture that brings together two North African sides with contrasting recent form. Libya’s listed sequence is DLW, while Tunisia’s is DDL, giving the Libyans the stronger finish to their latest run of results.

Maruwan Alhibeeshi has scored once for Libya this season and will be one of the players Tunisia must monitor. R. Mato has also scored once for Tunisia, making him the visitors’ leading scorer among the players listed for this match.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: Ezzeddine Maryami (Libya) — 1 assists, N. Asiimwe (Tunisia) — 1 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: Mohamed Darebi (Libya) — 0, Frank Ssebufu (Tunisia) — 0
• Tackles: Hamdou Elhouni (Libya) — 2, J. Bogere (Tunisia) — 1.
• Most encounters won: Maruwan Alhibeeshi (Libya) — 9, K. Semakula (Tunisia) — 10.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. H. Mastouri (4, Tunisia)
2. Y. Wissa (3, Congo DR)
3. Omar Marmoush (3, Egypt)
4. R. Mofokeng (3, South Africa)
5. M. Munetsi (3, Zimbabwe)

Team statistics:

Libya looking to build on improved form

Libya’s recent results show a progression from defeat to a draw and then a win. That sequence gives them momentum heading into the meeting with Tunisia, although the match is likely to be decided by how well they manage possession and chances in the key areas of the pitch.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Libya — DLW
• Tunisia — DDL

The Libyan attack has Alhibeeshi as an important reference point. His one goal this season makes him the side’s known scoring leader, and his contribution could be particularly significant if the match develops into a tight contest. Libya will need support from the players around him, as relying on one scorer can make it easier for an organised defence to limit their attacking threat.

According to home statistics this season, Libya scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	25.00%	33.33%
16-30	25.00%	33.33%
31-45	50.00%	33.33%
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

Tunisia has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	33.33%	40.00%
16-30	33.33%	20.00%
31-45	33.33%	40.00%
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Libya	4	0	0	0	0	2	2
Tunisia		2	2	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Libya		Tunisia
47.0%	Winning the game	47.0%
57%	Attack potential	57%
63%	Potential in defense	63%
20%	Strength against each other	20%
28%	Goal Potential	28%

Summary: the probability of Tunisia winning – 30%, draw – 35%, loss – 35%. Thus Libya, most likely, win (win or draw)

Goal Forecast:Libya, is likely to score -2.5 goals, Tunisia is likely to score no more than -1.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
0	0	0

Save the date

The match between the teams Libya and Tunisia will take place on November 17 at 16:00 (GMT) at the stadium .