Lesotho v Gabon: visitors hold the form advantage in November international

Lesotho face Gabon on 17 November at 13:00 GMT, with the visitors arriving in stronger recent form but both sides needing a result to build momentum.

Lesotho’s last five results read DWLLL, a sequence that includes one win, one draw and three defeats. Gabon’s listed recent record is LWW, giving them two victories from their last three matches. That contrast makes Gabon the more confident side before the meeting, although Lesotho will have home advantage.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: (Lesotho) — 0 assists, (Gabon) — 0 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: (Lesotho) — 0, Jean-Noël Amonome (Gabon) — 1
• Tackles: (Lesotho) — 0, Anthony Oyono (Gabon) — 1.
• Most encounters won: (Lesotho) — 0, Didier Ndong (Gabon) — 6.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. H. Mastouri (4, Tunisia)
2. Y. Wissa (3, Congo DR)
3. Omar Marmoush (3, Egypt)
4. R. Mofokeng (3, South Africa)
5. M. Munetsi (3, Zimbabwe)

Team statistics:

The fixture is an international match rather than a domestic league game, so there is no league table or club-based home-and-away record to influence the preview. The main indicators are recent results, defensive stability and the ability to respond under pressure.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Lesotho — DWLLL
• Gabon — LWW

Lesotho’s form has deteriorated after a positive start to the sequence. The draw and win in their opening two listed matches were followed by three consecutive losses. That run will increase the pressure on the team to produce a disciplined performance, particularly in the opening stages when Gabon will look to test the home defence.

According to home statistics this season, Lesotho scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	33.33%	57.14%
16-30	66.67%	14.29%
31-45		28.57%
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

Gabon has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	25.00%	50.00%
16-30	25.00%	50.00%
31-45	50.00%
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Lesotho	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Gabon		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Lesotho		Gabon
29.5%	Winning the game	29.5%
43%	Attack potential	43%
22%	Potential in defense	22%
13%	Strength against each other	13%
0%	Goal Potential	0%

Summary: the probability of Gabon winning – 45%, draw – 45%, loss – 10%. Thus Lesotho, most likely, loss (loss or draw)

Goal Forecast:Lesotho, is likely to score -1.5 goals, Gabon is likely to score no more than -2.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
0	0	0

Save the date

The match between the teams Lesotho and Gabon will take place on November 17 at 13:00 (GMT) at the stadium Peter Mokaba Stadium.