Hadiya Hosaena face Mekelakeya on 4 February at 13:00 GMT in a league fixture that could shape the mid-table picture, with the hosts searching for form and the visitors looking to extend a strong recent run.
Hadiya Hosaena come into the match on a poor sequence of results, with their last five league games reading LDDLD. That run underlines a side struggling to convert performances into victories and failing to build momentum at a crucial stage of the season. Draws have been frequent, but dropped points are beginning to weigh on their league position.
Mekelakeya arrive in far better form, with a last-five record of WDWWD. That sequence reflects a team hard to beat and increasingly confident, particularly in high-pressure fixtures. The visitors have turned tight matches in their favour more consistently than their hosts, giving them an edge in both rhythm and belief.
Home form has been mixed for Hadiya Hosaena this season. They have recorded 5 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats on their own ground. That pattern suggests inconsistency rather than outright weakness – the team are capable of strong home displays but have not sustained them. Their best home result so far is a 3-1 win, showing they can score goals at their stadium when attacking patterns click.
Hadiya Hosaena’s heaviest home defeat has been 0-2, a scoreline that hints at defensive lapses without suggesting collapse. They remain competitive in most home matches but have not always found the cutting edge at key moments. Their ability to control games at home is undermined by lapses in both penalty areas.
Away from home, Mekelakeya have produced a positive return with 7 wins, 6 draws and 5 losses on their travels. That record points to a well-balanced side who can adapt to different pitches and conditions across the league. They have taken points in the majority of their away fixtures and approach this trip with confidence built on previous successes on the road.
Mekelakeya’s best away result has been a 1-3 victory, a scoreline that highlights their capacity to score multiple goals while maintaining defensive stability. Their worst away defeat, 2-0, indicates that even when they lose, they are not regularly being heavily beaten. This resilience makes them a difficult opponent for any home side in the division.
In terms of overall scoring patterns, Hadiya Hosaena have endured several blank outings in attack. They have played 5 league matches this season without scoring a goal. Those scoreless games expose an ongoing issue in the final third, with build-up play not always translated into clear chances and goals. That lack of cutting edge is a key concern ahead of facing a well-organised visiting defence.
Defensively, Mekelakeya have demonstrated their solidity across the campaign. They have kept clean sheets in 7 matches, underlining disciplined structure and strong goalkeeping. That ability to shut out opponents has underpinned their recent run of positive results and will be central to their approach in this fixture, particularly away from home.
Mekelakeya’s most emphatic home win has been 3-1, while their biggest away victory has come by a 1-3 scoreline. Those results show that when they seize control of a game, they can open a clear margin on the scoreboard. Their attack is capable of stretching defences, especially when opponents chase the match or leave space in wide areas.
Hadiya Hosaena’s best away result this season, a 1-2 win, confirms that they can threaten on the counter-attack and in transition. However, their heaviest away defeat, 3-1, highlights vulnerability when forced to defend for long periods. While this match is at home, those figures reflect a broader inconsistency that has affected their entire campaign.
At home, Hadiya Hosaena’s biggest win, 3-1, stands in contrast to their heaviest home loss of 0-2. The gap between their best and worst performances is not extreme, but it reveals a team that sits on a fine line between success and disappointment. A slight drop in intensity or organisation has often been enough to swing the result against them.
In attacking terms, the season statistics show that no player has yet emerged as a prolific scorer for either side. The leading forwards have not produced standout tallies, and key attackers for both Hadiya Hosaena and Mekelakeya are still to register a goal this campaign. That fact places greater emphasis on set pieces, midfield contributions and defensive errors as potential sources of goals.
The league table context adds importance to this match. Hadiya Hosaena are looking to climb away from the lower reaches of the standings and stabilise in mid-table. Any further slip-ups could drag them into a tighter fight near the bottom, especially given their recent run of only one win in five. Their margin for error is narrowing as the season progresses.
Mekelakeya, by contrast, are targeting the upper half of the table and aiming to consolidate a position that could bring late-season opportunities, whether in the form of continental qualification ambitions or a strong final league placing. Their recent unbeaten streak makes this fixture a chance to apply pressure to teams above them and widen the gap to sides below.
Momentum clearly favours the visitors. Mekelakeya’s WDWWD sequence suggests a side that has developed consistency in both result and performance. Their blend of defensive stability, effective away form and reliable game management has become a major asset in tight league encounters.
Hadiya Hosaena’s LDDLD form paints a different picture. The team have proved difficult to beat at times, with draws offering some stability, but the lack of wins is restricting upward movement. The balance between attack and defence has not been fully achieved, and repeated stalemates have gradually eroded confidence.
Tactically, Hadiya Hosaena are likely to prioritise a solid defensive base at home, aware of Mekelakeya’s strength on the counter-attack and their capacity to turn away fixtures in their favour. The hosts must find a way to create higher-quality chances, particularly given their record of five goalless performances, while avoiding exposure at the back.
Mekelakeya will approach the match with their usual compact structure, looking to frustrate the hosts and exploit transitions. Their away record shows they are adept at absorbing pressure and punishing mistakes. They may seek an early goal to assert control, but are also comfortable managing a tight, low-scoring contest given their clean-sheet record.
Set pieces could prove decisive. With open-play goals sometimes hard to come by for both sides this season, well-worked corners and free-kicks may offer the best route to breaking the deadlock. Both managers will be aware that in a league where margins are often small, dead-ball situations can turn an even game.
Psychologically, Hadiya Hosaena require a response to their recent slide. A positive result at home would relieve tension, lift the dressing room and give fresh impetus for the next phase of the league campaign. Failure to secure at least a point would deepen concerns about their trajectory.
For Mekelakeya, the match presents an opportunity to reinforce their reputation as one of the division’s more reliable travellers. Extending their run of form would further cement their position in the table and send a message to rivals that they can perform consistently away from home as the season enters a decisive phase.
Discipline is likely to be another key factor. In a tight league system, suspensions and accumulated bookings can influence line-up options. Both sides must balance aggression with control, especially in midfield battles, to avoid weakening themselves with unnecessary cards in a potentially finely balanced encounter.
Supporters will look for signs that Hadiya Hosaena can recapture the level shown in their best home win of 3-1, where they combined solid defending with clinical finishing. Replicating that template, particularly in the opening stages, could tilt the match in their favour. Early pressure and intensity may be needed to test Mekelakeya’s away resilience.
Mekelakeya fans, in turn, will expect a performance in line with their 1-3 away victory earlier in the season. That result remains a reference point for how they can control tempo, protect their goal and take key chances. If they reach a similar level, they will back themselves to leave with at least a point.
The statistical contrast between Hadiya Hosaena’s five scoreless matches and Mekelakeya’s seven clean sheets frames the central battle. The home side must overcome their difficulties in breaking down organised defences, while the visitors aim to extend a pattern of shutting out opponents and collecting points.
Both teams enter the fixture aware of its implications for the league table, their immediate objectives and the broader direction of their seasons. Hadiya Hosaena need a result to halt a worrying trend; Mekelakeya seek to build further on encouraging progress.
The stage is set for a league encounter in which form, defensive structure and small margins are likely to decide the outcome. Hadiya Hosaena’s search for stability meets Mekelakeya’s push for consistency, with the league standings and seasonal ambitions in sharp focus when they kick off at 13:00 GMT on 4 February.
The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:
- Assists: (Hadiya Hosaena) — 0 assists, (Mekelakeya) — 0 assists.
- Goalkeepers saves: (Hadiya Hosaena) — 0, (Mekelakeya) — 0
- Tackles: None (Hadiya Hosaena) — None, None (Mekelakeya) — None.
- Most encounters won: (Hadiya Hosaena) — 0, (Mekelakeya) — 0.
- Yellow cards: None (Hadiya Hosaena) — None, None (Mekelakeya) — None.
- Red cards: None (Hadiya Hosaena) — None, None (Mekelakeya) — None.
Top 5 scorers this season:
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Team statistics:
The five previous matches played by the teams:
- Hadiya Hosaena — LDDLD
- Mekelakeya — WDWWD
According to home statistics this season, Hadiya Hosaena scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 18.75% | 38.89% |
| 16-30 | 31.25% | 11.11% |
| 31-45 | 12.50% | 11.11% |
| 46-60 | 12.50% | 5.56% |
| 61-75 | 25.00% | 27.78% |
| 76-90 | 5.56% | |
| 91-105 |
Mekelakeya has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:
| Intervals | Goal Scored, % | Goals conceded, % |
| 0-15 | 15.79% | 13.33% |
| 16-30 | 15.79% | 13.33% |
| 31-45 | 36.84% | 20.00% |
| 46-60 | 15.79% | 20.00% |
| 61-75 | 15.79% | 20.00% |
| 76-90 | 13.33% | |
| 91-105 |
Head-to-head stats:
| Teams | Games | Win | Draws | Losses | |||
| H | A | H | A | H | A | ||
| Hadiya Hosaena | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| Mekelakeya | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
Probabilities before the match:
| Hadiya Hosaena | Mekelakeya | |
| 38.8% | Winning the game | 38.8% |
| 40% | Attack potential | 40% |
| 30% | Potential in defense | 30% |
| 50% | Strength against each other | 50% |
| 50% | Goal Potential | 50% |
Summary: the probability of Mekelakeya winning – 45%, draw – 45%, loss – 10%. Thus Hadiya Hosaena, most likely, loss (loss or draw)
Goal Forecast:Hadiya Hosaena, is likely to score -2.5 goals, Mekelakeya is likely to score no more than -2.5.
The bookmaker odds for this match:
| Home win | Draw | Away win |
| 0 | 0 | 0 |
Save the date
The match between the teams Hadiya Hosaena and Mekelakeya will take place on February 04 at 13:00 (GMT) at the stadium Abiy Hersamo Stadium.
