France v Morocco: Mbappé and Saibari set for high‑stakes July showdown in top form

France face Morocco on 9 July at 20:00 (GMT) in a clash framed by perfect recent form, tight defensive records and decisive attacking stars on both sides.

France arrive with five wins from their last five matches, stacking momentum as they move into the decisive phase of the competition. Morocco travel in almost equally strong shape, with a sequence of DWWWW in their last five, underlining their resilience and growing threat away from home.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: Adrien Rabiot (France) — 1 assists, Brahim Díaz (Morocco) — 1 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: Mike Maignan (France) — 2, Bono (Morocco) — 4
• Tackles: None (France) — None, None (Morocco) — None.
• Most encounters won: Dayot Upamecano (France) — 8, Achraf Hakimi (Morocco) — 11.
• Yellow cards: None (France) — None, None (Morocco) — None.
• Red cards: None (France) — None, None (Morocco) — None.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. L. Messi (7, Argentina)
2. E. Haaland (7, Norway)
3. Kylian Mbappé (7, France)
4. H. Kane (6, England)
5. O. Dembélé (4, France)

Team statistics:

France’s attacking focus rests on Kylian Mbappé, who has scored 2 goals this season for his country and remains their clearest route to goal. Morocco will look to Ismael Saibari, who has 1 goal this season and offers a direct, powerful presence in the final third. Both managers are expected to build their attacking plans around these two focal points, given the stakes and recent scoring patterns.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• France — WWWWW
• Morocco — DWWWW

France’s home form stands out in the league-style campaign. They have recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses at home this season, underlining their reliability in front of their own supporters. Their biggest home victory so far has been a 3-0 win, a result that reflects both their attacking sharpness and ability to control games from early on.

According to home statistics this season, France scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	14.29%	50.00%
16-30	7.14%	50.00%
31-45	14.29%
46-60	14.29%
61-75	28.57%
76-90	21.43%
91-105

Morocco has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	14.29%	40.00%
16-30	7.14%	20.00%
31-45	14.29%	40.00%
46-60	7.14%
61-75	35.71%
76-90	21.43%
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
France	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Morocco		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

France		Morocco
60.3%	Winning the game	60.3%
56%	Attack potential	56%
67%	Potential in defense	67%
100%	Strength against each other	100%
100%	Goal Potential	100%

Summary: the probability of Morocco winning – 10%, draw – 45%, loss – 45%. Thus France, most likely, win (win or draw)

Goal Forecast:France, is likely to score -2.5 goals, Morocco is likely to score no more than -2.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
BetVictor 1.6	SBO 3.96	Bet365 6.3

Save the date

The match between the teams France and Morocco will take place on July 09 at 20:00 (GMT) at the stadium Gillette Stadium.