Eritrea vs South Africa: Hosts seek home advantage as S. Kabini leads early scoring

Eritrea face South Africa on 30 September at 16:00 GMT, with both sides aiming to strengthen their position in the competition. Eritrea will rely on a strong home record, while South Africa arrive with an away win already secured this season and S. Kabini currently the only named scorer in the fixture data.

Eritrea have scored no goals this season, leaving them with a clear attacking challenge against a South Africa side that have shown greater efficiency in front of goal. Kabini has scored once for South Africa and will be one of the players Eritrea must monitor closely.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: (Eritrea) — 0 assists, Y. Mbuthuma (South Africa) — 1 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: (Eritrea) — 0, B. Aubaas (South Africa) — 0
• Tackles: (Eritrea) — 0, O. Appollis (South Africa) — 4.
• Most encounters won: (Eritrea) — 0, K. Sebelebele (South Africa) — 9.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. N. Dorgeles (2, Mali)
2. L. Mickels (1, Rwanda)
3. I. Maza (1, Algeria)
4. M. Diallo (1, Mauritania)
5. A. Hadj-Moussa (1, Algeria)

Team statistics:

The match gives Eritrea an opportunity to change the early shape of their campaign. Although their scoring record is yet to produce a goal, their home results offer encouragement. They have won two of their home matches and drawn one, without suffering a defeat. Their biggest home victory has been a 2-0 result.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Eritrea — WWD
• South Africa — W

South Africa’s away record is also positive. They have won their only away match so far, giving them confidence before travelling to Eritrea. Their strongest recorded home winning score is 2-1, while their away campaign has begun with a victory.

According to home statistics this season, Eritrea scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	20.00%	100.00%
16-30	40.00%
31-45	40.00%
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

South Africa has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	50.00%	100.00%
16-30	50.00%
31-45
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Eritrea	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
South Africa		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Eritrea		South Africa
58.0%	Winning the game	58.0%
71%	Attack potential	71%
33%	Potential in defense	33%
0%	Strength against each other	0%
0%	Goal Potential	0%

Summary: the probability of South Africa winning – 10%, draw – 45%, loss – 45%. Thus Eritrea, most likely, win (win or draw)

Goal Forecast:Eritrea, is likely to score -2.5 goals, South Africa is likely to score no more than -2.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
0	0	0

Save the date

The match between the teams Eritrea and South Africa will take place on September 30 at 16:00 (GMT) at the stadium Al Salam Stadium.