Morocco enter the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations as the leading contenders, according to Opta Analyst’s latest predictions released days before the opening match of the tournament.
As the competition prepares to kick off with a high-profile opener between Morocco and Comoros, Opta’s supercomputer has assessed thousands of possible outcomes to identify the teams most likely to claim continental glory.
The data-driven forecast places the host nation at the top of the list, giving the Atlas Lions a 19.1 per cent chance of winning the title.
Morocco’s position reflects both recent performances and the advantage of playing in familiar surroundings.
Supporters across the country expect a strong showing, especially after recent tournaments confirmed Morocco’s growing consistency at the highest level of international football.
Opta’s figures suggest that no other team enters the competition with a higher probability of going all the way.
Egypt sit second in the rankings with a 12.4 per cent chance of lifting the trophy.
The seven-time champions continue to command respect at AFCON, thanks to their tournament pedigree and ability to navigate pressure-filled knockout matches.
Despite not topping the predictions, Egypt remain a serious threat to any opponent they face.
Senegal follow closely in third place on 12.3 per cent. The reigning champions approach AFCON 2025 with confidence and ambition, determined to defend their crown.
Opta’s model highlights their balance, physical strength, and experience as key factors that keep them firmly in contention for another title run.
Algeria rank fourth with a 12.0 per cent chance of winning the competition.
Although recent tournaments have tested the Fennecs, the supercomputer still rates their squad depth and technical quality highly.
A strong group-stage performance could quickly restore belief and momentum.
Nigeria complete the top five, with Opta assigning the Super Eagles a 7.3 per cent probability of overall victory.
While the percentage trails the leading quartet, Nigeria’s attacking potential and tournament know-how continue to make them dangerous outsiders capable of disrupting the favourites.
Opta’s predictions underline the fine margins expected at AFCON 2025.
With several heavyweights clustered closely behind Morocco, the tournament promises intense competition and unpredictable twists.
For fans across the continent, the numbers set the stage, but the drama will unfold on the pitch.
