Rwanda vs Mali: Hosts face tough test against unbeaten away side

Rwanda face Mali on 17 November at 19:00 GMT in a match that pits a team with a mixed recent record against an unbeaten opponent on the road.

Rwanda’s recent form is listed as WWL, while Mali have won their last three recorded matches. The visitors also bring a strong away record into the fixture, having won three of their three away games this season.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: Gilbert Byiringiro (Rwanda) — 1 assists, Amadou Haidara (Mali) — 1 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: Fiacre Ntwari (Rwanda) — 3, Djigui Diarra (Mali) — 1
• Tackles: Ange Mutsinzi (Rwanda) — 2, Ousmane Camara (Mali) — 1.
• Most encounters won: Gilbert Byiringiro (Rwanda) — 3, Mamadou Sangare (Mali) — 11.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. H. Mastouri (4, Tunisia)
2. Y. Wissa (3, Congo DR)
3. Omar Marmoush (3, Egypt)
4. R. Mofokeng (3, South Africa)
5. M. Munetsi (3, Zimbabwe)

Team statistics:

Joy Lance Mickels has scored once for Rwanda this season, while Mali’s Dorgeles Nene has found the net twice. Their contributions could prove important in a match expected to be decided by small margins.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Rwanda — WWL
• Mali — WWW

Rwanda will have home advantage, but Mali’s away form makes them the stronger team on the available numbers. Rwanda have won two of their three home matches, with no draws and one defeat. Mali, by contrast, have taken maximum points in every away match recorded.

According to home statistics this season, Rwanda scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	14.29%	60.00%
16-30	14.29%	20.00%
31-45	28.57%	20.00%
46-60	42.86%
61-75
76-90
91-105

Mali has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	14.29%	33.33%
16-30	28.57%	33.33%
31-45	14.29%	33.33%
46-60	14.29%
61-75	28.57%
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Rwanda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Mali		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Rwanda		Mali
37.5%	Winning the game	37.5%
50%	Attack potential	50%
38%	Potential in defense	38%
0%	Strength against each other	0%
22%	Goal Potential	22%

Summary: the probability of Mali winning – 45%, draw – 45%, loss – 10%. Thus Rwanda, most likely, loss (loss or draw)

Goal Forecast:Rwanda, is likely to score -3.5 goals, Mali is likely to score no more than -2.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
0	0	0

Save the date

The match between the teams Rwanda and Mali will take place on November 17 at 19:00 (GMT) at the stadium Stade Amahoro.