Guinea-Bissau vs Madagascar: Baldé leads home side into important November clash

Guinea-Bissau face Madagascar on 17 November at 16:00 GMT, with both sides looking to build momentum from contrasting recent form. Guinea-Bissau’s listed form is WWD, while Madagascar’s is LDD.

Mama Baldé has scored one goal this season for Guinea-Bissau, while E. Kari has also scored once for Madagascar. Their goals could prove important in a match where the available statistics point to a competitive contest rather than a clear favourite.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: Beto (Guinea-Bissau) — 1 assists, R. Ponti (Madagascar) — 1 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: Steve Ambri (Guinea-Bissau) — 0, W. Caddy (Madagascar) — 0
• Tackles: Álvaro Djaló (Guinea-Bissau) — 1, H. Abdallah (Madagascar) — 1.
• Most encounters won: Renato Nhaga (Guinea-Bissau) — 7, M. Jean-Pierre (Madagascar) — 7.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. H. Mastouri (4, Tunisia)
2. Y. Wissa (3, Congo DR)
3. Omar Marmoush (3, Egypt)
4. R. Mofokeng (3, South Africa)
5. M. Munetsi (3, Zimbabwe)

Team statistics:

Guinea-Bissau have been the stronger side at home this season. Their home record stands at two wins, one draw and no defeats, giving them a solid foundation before the meeting with Madagascar. Their biggest home victory has been a 3-0 success, underlining their ability to turn territorial control into a convincing result.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Guinea-Bissau — WWD
• Madagascar — LDD

Madagascar have yet to win away this season. Their away record is listed as two draws and one defeat, suggesting they have been difficult to overcome but have struggled to take all three points on the road. That record could encourage the visitors to adopt a cautious approach, particularly during the opening stages.

According to home statistics this season, Guinea-Bissau scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	16.67%	100.00%
16-30	16.67%
31-45	16.67%
46-60	16.67%
61-75	16.67%
76-90	16.67%
91-105

Madagascar has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	33.33%	50.00%
16-30	66.67%	25.00%
31-45		25.00%
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Guinea-Bissau	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Madagascar		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Guinea-Bissau		Madagascar
65.0%	Winning the game	65.0%
67%	Attack potential	67%
80%	Potential in defense	80%
50%	Strength against each other	50%
50%	Goal Potential	50%

Summary: the probability of Madagascar winning – 10%, draw – 45%, loss – 45%. Thus Guinea-Bissau, most likely, win (win or draw)

Goal Forecast:Guinea-Bissau, is likely to score -3.5 goals, Madagascar is likely to score no more than -1.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
0	0	0

Save the date

The match between the teams Guinea-Bissau and Madagascar will take place on November 17 at 16:00 (GMT) at the stadium .