Ethiopia vs Mozambique: Catamo threat gives visitors edge in November international

Ethiopia face Mozambique on 17 November at 13:00 GMT, with both sides aiming to strengthen their position in the latest international football campaign. Ethiopia come into the match with mixed but improving form, while Mozambique have produced an inconsistent run in their recent fixtures.

Ethiopia’s last five matches read WWLLW, showing a team capable of responding to setbacks. Two defeats interrupted their run, but victories in three of those five games underline the potential threat they will pose at home. Their latest result was a win, giving the hosts momentum before the meeting with Mozambique.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: (Ethiopia) — 0 assists, Witi (Mozambique) — 1 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: (Ethiopia) — 0, Ernan (Mozambique) — 4
• Tackles: (Ethiopia) — 0, Bheu (Mozambique) — 2.
• Most encounters won: (Ethiopia) — 0, Geny Catamo (Mozambique) — 11.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. H. Mastouri (4, Tunisia)
2. Y. Wissa (3, Congo DR)
3. Omar Marmoush (3, Egypt)
4. R. Mofokeng (3, South Africa)
5. M. Munetsi (3, Zimbabwe)

Team statistics:

Mozambique’s recorded recent sequence is DWL. That run includes a draw, a defeat and a win, leaving the visitors searching for greater consistency. Their most recent victory will provide confidence, but the away side must produce a disciplined performance if they are to control the match from the start.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Ethiopia — WWLLW
• Mozambique — DWL

The key attacking player identified for Mozambique is Geny Catamo, who has scored one goal this season. His ability to operate in advanced positions could be important against an Ethiopia side looking to limit the visitors’ space in the final third.

According to home statistics this season, Ethiopia scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	20.00%	50.00%
16-30	20.00%	50.00%
31-45	20.00%
46-60	40.00%
61-75
76-90
91-105

Mozambique has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	20.00%	33.33%
16-30	20.00%	66.67%
31-45	40.00%
46-60	20.00%
61-75
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Ethiopia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Mozambique		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Ethiopia		Mozambique
64.8%	Winning the game	64.8%
50%	Attack potential	50%
60%	Potential in defense	60%
80%	Strength against each other	80%
100%	Goal Potential	100%

Summary: the probability of Mozambique winning – 10%, draw – 45%, loss – 45%. Thus Ethiopia, most likely, win (win or draw)

Goal Forecast:Ethiopia, is likely to score -1.5 goals, Mozambique is likely to score no more than -2.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
0	0	0

Save the date

The match between the teams Ethiopia and Mozambique will take place on November 17 at 13:00 (GMT) at the stadium .