Burundi vs Zambia: Sakala threat gives visitors edge in November meeting

Burundi face Zambia on 17 November at 13:00 GMT, with both sides looking to turn recent form into a positive result in an important international fixture.

Burundi’s recent record reads WWLDD, while Zambia have won one of their last three matches, alongside a defeat and a draw. The hosts have shown greater consistency across their last five games, but Zambia possess an attacking threat in Fashion Sakala, who has scored once this season.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: (Burundi) — 0 assists, David Simukonda (Zambia) — 1 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: (Burundi) — 0, Willard Mwanza (Zambia) — 3
• Tackles: (Burundi) — 0, Dominic Chanda (Zambia) — 2.
• Most encounters won: (Burundi) — 0, Miguel Changa Chaiwa (Zambia) — 6.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. H. Mastouri (4, Tunisia)
2. Y. Wissa (3, Congo DR)
3. Omar Marmoush (3, Egypt)
4. R. Mofokeng (3, South Africa)
5. M. Munetsi (3, Zimbabwe)

Team statistics:

Burundi’s listed scoring return is yet to produce a goal, placing added responsibility on their forwards and midfielders to improve their contribution in the final third. Zambia have also had a mixed campaign, but Sakala’s experience gives them a player capable of making the difference in a closely contested match.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Burundi — WWLDD
• Zambia — LWD

Burundi have been difficult to beat at home. Their record on home soil this season is two wins, two draws and one defeat. That record highlights their ability to collect points in front of their own supporters, although their goal output remains a major concern.

According to home statistics this season, Burundi scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	30.00%	20.00%
16-30	10.00%	40.00%
31-45	10.00%	40.00%
46-60	30.00%
61-75	20.00%
76-90
91-105

Zambia has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	40.00%	66.67%
16-30	20.00%	33.33%
31-45	20.00%
46-60	20.00%
61-75
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Burundi	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Zambia		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Burundi		Zambia
56.3%	Winning the game	56.3%
73%	Attack potential	73%
50%	Potential in defense	50%
29%	Strength against each other	29%
33%	Goal Potential	33%

Summary: the probability of Zambia winning – 10%, draw – 45%, loss – 45%. Thus Burundi, most likely, win (win or draw)

Goal Forecast:Burundi, is likely to score -4.5 goals, Zambia is likely to score no more than -2.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
0	0	0

Save the date

The match between the teams Burundi and Zambia will take place on November 17 at 13:00 (GMT) at the stadium .