Egypt vs Malawi: Malawi hope Lloyd Njaliwa can make the difference

Egypt face Malawi on 11 November at 17:00 GMT, with both sides looking to strengthen their position in the current campaign. Egypt have yet to score this season, while Malawi arrive with Lloyd Njaliwa having scored once.

The match gives Egypt an immediate opportunity to change their attacking fortunes. Their failure to find the net has made every defensive mistake more costly, and they will need a more effective performance in the final third if they are to take control of the contest.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: (Egypt) — 0 assists, (Malawi) — 0 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: Mostafa Shobeir (Egypt) — 2, William Kilipota Thole (Malawi) — 0
• Tackles: Hossam Abdelmaguid (Egypt) — 2, (Malawi) — 0.
• Most encounters won: Emam Ashour (Egypt) — 15, (Malawi) — 0.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. H. Mastouri (4, Tunisia)
2. M. Munetsi (3, Zimbabwe)
3. E. Colley (3, Gambia)
4. Y. Wissa (2, Congo DR)
5. Chamito (2, Mozambique)

Team statistics:

Malawi have a clear attacking reference in Njaliwa. His one goal is a modest return, but it gives the forward an important role in a match where a single finish could decide the result. Malawi will hope he can provide the moment of quality needed to punish Egypt.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Egypt — DW
• Malawi — WL

Egypt’s recent form includes a draw and a win, suggesting that the team has shown some ability to avoid defeat despite its lack of goals. The unbeaten sequence offers encouragement, but results without scoring will not be sustainable unless the defence continues to keep opponents under control.

According to home statistics this season, Egypt scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	20.00%
16-30	20.00%
31-45	20.00%
46-60	20.00%
61-75	20.00%
76-90
91-105

Malawi has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	50.00%	20.00%
16-30	50.00%	20.00%
31-45		40.00%
46-60		20.00%
61-75
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Egypt	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Malawi		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Egypt		Malawi
60.0%	Winning the game	60.0%
63%	Attack potential	63%
100%	Potential in defense	100%
100%	Strength against each other	100%
100%	Goal Potential	100%

Summary: the probability of Malawi winning – 10%, draw – 45%, loss – 45%. Thus Egypt, most likely, win (win or draw)

Goal Forecast:Egypt, is likely to score -3.5 goals, Malawi is likely to score no more than -2.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
0	0	0

Save the date

The match between the teams Egypt and Malawi will take place on November 11 at 17:00 (GMT) at the stadium .