Mali vs Rwanda: Dorgeles Nene threat looms over November meeting

Mali face Rwanda on 11 November at 17:00 GMT with Dorgeles Nene providing the hosts’ main attacking threat after scoring twice this season.

Rwanda will look to Joy Lance Mickels for a response. The forward has scored once this season and is the visitors’ leading scorer among the players highlighted for this fixture.

The key statistics of the players of both teams this season:

• Assists: Amadou Haidara (Mali) — 1 assists, Gilbert Byiringiro (Rwanda) — 1 assists.
• Goalkeepers saves: Djigui Diarra (Mali) — 1, Fiacre Ntwari (Rwanda) — 3
• Tackles: Ousmane Camara (Mali) — 1, Ange Mutsinzi (Rwanda) — 2.
• Most encounters won: Mamadou Sangare (Mali) — 11, Gilbert Byiringiro (Rwanda) — 3.

Top 5 scorers this season:

1. H. Mastouri (4, Tunisia)
2. M. Munetsi (3, Zimbabwe)
3. E. Colley (3, Gambia)
4. Y. Wissa (2, Congo DR)
5. Chamito (2, Mozambique)

Team statistics:

Both sides arrive with positive recent form, with Mali’s last-five record listed as WW and Rwanda also recording WW. That gives the match the feel of a closely contested meeting between two teams seeking to maintain momentum.

The five previous matches played by the teams:

• Mali — WW
• Rwanda — WW

Mali will hope Nene can make the difference in the decisive areas. His two goals make him the most productive scorer in this match-up, while Rwanda will need Mickels to convert the chances that come his way if they are to take something from the game.

According to home statistics this season, Mali scores more goals and concedes more in the following intervals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	25.00%	100.00%
16-30	25.00%
31-45	25.00%
46-60	25.00%
61-75
76-90
91-105

Rwanda has the following time frames of scoring and conceding goals:

Intervals	Goal Scored, %	Goals conceded, %
0-15	20.00%	100.00%
16-30	40.00%
31-45	40.00%
46-60
61-75
76-90
91-105

Head-to-head stats:

Teams	Games	Win		Draws		Losses
		H	A	H	A	H	A
Mali	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Rwanda		0	0	0	0	0	0

Probabilities before the match:

Mali		Rwanda
54.3%	Winning the game	54.3%
44%	Attack potential	44%
67%	Potential in defense	67%
100%	Strength against each other	100%
100%	Goal Potential	100%

Summary: the probability of Rwanda winning – 10%, draw – 45%, loss – 45%. Thus Mali, most likely, win (win or draw)

Goal Forecast:Mali, is likely to score -3.5 goals, Rwanda is likely to score no more than -3.5.

The bookmaker odds for this match:

Home win	Draw	Away win
0	0	0

Save the date

The match between the teams Mali and Rwanda will take place on November 11 at 17:00 (GMT) at the stadium .