Brentford host Chelsea at the Gtech Community Stadium on Friday, 18 September 2026 at 19:00 GMT in the fifth round of the Premier League. The Bees remain unbeaten, while Chelsea are looking to recover after conceding at least two goals in each of their opening four league matches.
Mahamad Sangare, presenter of the sports debate programme La VAR on Burkina info TV, has provided his analysis and prediction for the game.
Contrasting starts to the season
Brentford began with a 3-0 victory over Tottenham and have since drawn 1-1 with Leeds, 1-1 with Sunderland and 2-2 with Bournemouth. Their latest draw included two goals from Kevin Schade, who has scored three times in the Premier League this season.
Keith Andrews’ side finished eighth last season, one point behind seventh, and narrowly missed out on European qualification. The Bees were also due to face Reading in the EFL Cup round of 32 in midweek.
Chelsea opened the campaign with wins over Fulham (3-2) and Brighton (4-3), but lost 2-1 at Arsenal before drawing 2-2 at home with promoted Hull. They have scored 10 goals in their past four matches in all competitions, including six against Leeds in the Carabao Cup, but their defensive record remains a concern.
The London club finished 10th last season and are without European football this term. They are now under new manager Xabi Alonso.
Team news and key players
Brentford will be without defenders Collins and Van den Berg, as well as long-term absentee Milambo. Dasilva and Furo are also unavailable, while Jensen is doubtful. Igor Thiago has yet to score this season, but Schade has already found the net three times.
The Bees lost Henderson to Chelsea and Onyeka and Pinnock to Coventry during the summer. Nelson returned to Arsenal after his loan spell. Their arrivals included Salzburg defender Schuster, full-back Malick Diouf, midfielder Sangare, winger Anthony and experienced striker Wilson.
Chelsea remain uncertain over the fitness of Italian full-back Palestra, French international Gusto, midfielder Moises Caicedo and new signings Henderson and Emegha. Joao Pedro has three goals and three assists in the league, while Palmer has two goals and two assists. Pedro Neto has scored once and Rogers has three goals and one assist.
Chelsea’s departures included Cucurella to Real Madrid, defenders Chalobah, Sarr, Adarabioyo, Disasi and Badiashile, and goalkeepers Sanchez and Jorgensen. Garnacho, Mudryk, Jackson, Guiu, Delap, Fernandez, Andrey Santos, Essugo and winger George also left.
Martinez, Palestra, Chavarria, Lacroix, Barco, Henderson, Rogers, Quenda, Welbeck and Emegha joined the club.
Head-to-head and predictions
In the six recent meetings recorded up to 28 October 2023, Brentford have won once, Chelsea twice and there have been three draws. Brentford scored seven goals and Chelsea eight, an average of 2.5 per game.
A reported 2-0 Chelsea win on 17 January 2026 would be the most recent league meeting, although that result requires verification because it falls after the stated reference date.
The locked prediction gives a 39% probability of a draw, with 1-1 as the reference score. Other statistical selections are Chelsea to win (2.364), Chelsea double chance (1.459), both teams to score (1.39), and more than 8.5 corners (1.37).
Expert selections include more than 9.5 corners at 1.68, Joao Pedro to score at 2.28, both teams to score at 1.39, a 2-2 correct score at 9.5 and an even total of goals at 1.83. Odds can change.
